• EUR/USD dives below 1.1100 as lower inflation in Spain and in six key German states prompts expectations of another ECB rate cut.
• Eurozone and German inflation are estimated to have slowed further in August.
• The US core PCE inflation data could influence market expectations for Fed rate-cut size in September.

EUR/USD faces a sharp sell-off, sliding below the round-level support of 1.100 in Thursday’s European session. The major currency pair extends its correction after some preliminary inflation data from Spain and six important German states showed that price pressures continued to abate in August, increasing bets of an upcoming interest-rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). Meanwhile, the US Dollar increased further above Wednesday’s high, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) – which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies – rising to near 101.30.

The sharp recovery in the US Dollar suggests that investors are turning risk-averse with United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for July on the horizon. The underlying inflation data is expected to influence market speculation for the likely size of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate cuts in September.

The PCE inflation report is expected to show that the annual core inflation rose by 2.7% in July, faster than the 2.6% seen in June. Month-over-month, core PCE is estimated to have grown steadily by 0.2%.