- The NFIB Business Optimism Index for August came in at 91.2, below the 93.6 expected and down from 93.7 previously.
- The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is set to release its monthly Oil Market Report at around 12:00 GMT.
- Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr speaks at a Brookings Institution event in Washington about the Basel III Endgame regulatory framework. Barr isn't expected to talk about monetary policy because the Fed is within its blackout period ahead of its meeting on September 17-18.
- The US Treasury is set to distribute a 3-year note around 17:00 GMT.
- Equities trade mixed after US indices were able to close off Monday on a positive note. Some small profit-taking is taking place in Europe and in US futures during the European trading hours.
- The CME Fedwatch Tool shows a 73.0% chance of a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed on September 18 against a 27.0% chance for a 50 bps cut. For the meeting on November 7, another 25 bps cut (if September is a 25 bps cut) is expected in November by 31.9%, while there is a 52.9% chance that rates will be 75 bps (25 bps 50 bps) and a 15.2% probability of rates being 100 (25 bps 75 bps) basis points lower.
- The US 10-year benchmark rate trades at 3.71%, off the low from Monday, when T-notes hit 3.69%.
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