- There was another possible assassination attempt over the weekend to kill former US President Donald Trump. The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) was quick to foil the attempt and arrest the suspect, CNN reports.
- At 12:30 GMT, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index for September is to be released. The main index is expected to increase slightly to -3.9 from -4.7 a month earlier.
- The US Treasury will auction a 3-month and a 6-month bill at 15:30 GMT.
- European equities are trading sideways while US futures are trading flat during European trading hours.
- The CME Fedwatch Tool shows a much smaller 41.0% chance of a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed on Wednesday, further down from the 87% seen last week. Meanwhile, markets have increased the chances of a 50 bps cut to 59.0% on the back of Fed’s Dudley comments and the news articles last week. For the meeting on November 7, another 25 bps cut (if September is a 25 bps cut) is expected by 20.9%, while there is a 50.2% chance that rates will be 75 bps (25 bps 50 bps) and a 29.0% probability of rates being 100 (25 bps 75 bps) basis points lower compared to current levels.
- The US 10-year benchmark rate trades at 3.64%, still quite close to the 15-month low of 3.60%.
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