USD/JPY: DIAGONAL LEVEL ANALYSIS

avatar
· Views 79



USD/JPY: DIAGONAL LEVEL ANALYSIS
Scenario
TimeframeWeekly
RecommendationBUY STOP
Entry Point143.40
Take Profit146.47
Stop Loss142.30
Key Levels138.11, 140.00, 143.40, 146.47
Alternative scenario
RecommendationSELL STOP
Entry Point140.00
Take Profit138.11
Stop Loss141.00
Key Levels138.11, 140.00, 143.40, 146.47

Current trend

The USD/JPY pair is correcting at 142.82 amid a decline in trading activity ahead of tomorrow’s meeting of the Bank of Japan. The key factor in further dynamics remains the volume of interest rate adjustment. Yesterday, US Fed officials cut the cost of borrowing by –50 basis points. If the Bank of Japan increases the indicator even by a low of 0.25%, the gap between the indicators will significantly narrow, putting pressure on the Japanese currency in the short term.

The American dollar is holding close to the annual low of 100.70 in the USDX, while investors are assessing the US Fed’s decision. On the one hand, the interest rate cut to 4.75–5.00% was planned, and the head of the regulator, Jerome Powell, noted that at least one more adjustment of the indicator might follow before the end of the year. On the other hand, the change was quite sharp, and it is still unknown how inflation will behave without monetary pressure. At 14:30 (GMT 2), data from the labor market is due, which may clarify the situation.

In these conditions, the upward dynamics of the USD/JPY pair is the most likely scenario.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, the trading instrument reversed at the crosshair of the left support of the first order (I) and the right support of the first order (I) at 140.00, significantly increasing the probability of movement in a stable upward trend. The price may reach the crosshair of the left resistance of the third order (III) and the right resistance of the third order (III) at 143.40, and then the crosshair of the left resistance of the second order (II) and the right resistance of the second order (II) at 146.47.

An alternative option is a downward trend development, where the crosshair of the left support of the first order (I) and the right support of the first order (I) at 140.00 will become the immediate target. The crosshair of the left support of the first order (I) and the right support of the third order (III) at 138.11 will become the long-term one.

Resistance levels: 143.40, 146.47.

Support levels: 140.00, 138.11.

USD/JPY: DIAGONAL LEVEL ANALYSIS

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price consolidates above 143.40, with the target at 146.47. Stop loss — 142.30. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price consolidates below 140.00, with the target at 138.11. Stop loss — around 141.00.


Tuyên bố miễn trừ trách nhiệm: Quan điểm được trình bày hoàn toàn là của tác giả và không đại diện cho quan điểm chính thức của Followme. Followme không chịu trách nhiệm về tính chính xác, đầy đủ hoặc độ tin cậy của thông tin được cung cấp và không chịu trách nhiệm cho bất kỳ hành động nào được thực hiện dựa trên nội dung, trừ khi được nêu rõ bằng văn bản.

Website Cộng đồng Giao Dịch FOLLOWME: www.followme.asia

Bạn thích bài viết này? Hãy thể hiện sự cảm kích của bạn bằng cách gửi tiền boa cho tác giả.
avatar
Trả lời 0

Tải thất bại ()

  • tradingContest