Daily Digest Market Movers: Indian Rupee trades firmer, potential upside seems limited

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  • According to the World Bank’s latest report, the Indian economy continues to grow at a healthy pace despite global challenges, but to reach its $1 trillion merchandise exports goal by 2030, India needs to diversify its export basket and leverage global value chains.
  • The US Services PMI climbed to 54.9 in September from 51.5 in August, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed on Thursday. This figure came in stronger than the market forecast of 51.7. 
  • The US weekly Initial Jobless Claims in the US rose by 6,000 to 225,000 in the week ending September 28. This figure followed the previous week's print of 219,000 (revised from 218,000) and was worse than the market expectation of 220,000. 
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee reiterated on Thursday that the interest rates need to come down over the next year by “a lot.” Goolsbee further stated that he’d like to keep the unemployment rate at 4.2% and prevent it from rising any further.
  • The markets have priced in nearly 68.9% odds of a 25 bps Fed rate cut, while the chance of 50 bps reductions stands at 31.1%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. 


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