XAU/USD: Fibonacci levels analysis

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XAU/USD: Fibonacci levels analysis
Scenario
TimeframeWeekly
RecommendationSELL STOP
Entry Point2596.80
Take Profit2563.50, 2541.50
Stop Loss2224.00
Key Levels2541.50, 2563.50, 2596.80, 2642.00, 2670.00, 2715.30
Alternative scenario
RecommendationBUY STOP
Entry Point2642.00
Take Profit2670.00, 2715.30
Stop Loss2623.00
Key Levels2541.50, 2563.50, 2596.80, 2642.00, 2670.00, 2715.30

XAU/USD, H4

On the four-hour chart, the XAU/USD pair reached a three-month low of 2596.80 (0.0% correction) and is trying to correct to the area of ​​2642.00 (23.6% correction, middle line of Bollinger Bands) and 2670.00 (38.2% correction). For it, the price has to break the downward fan upwards. If the quotes are consolidated below 2596.80, the negative dynamics will resume to 2563.50 (100.0% expansion).

Technical indicators do not give a single signal: Bollinger Bands are directed downwards, Stochastic is directed upwards, and the MACD histogram is decreasing in the negative zone.

XAU/USD: Fibonacci levels analysis

XAU/USD, D1

On the daily chart, the price is correcting against the long-term upward trend, testing 2600.00 (correction 38.2%). Its breakout will allow it to decline to 2541.50 (correction 50.0%). Otherwise, the growth will resume to ​​2672.00 (correction 23.6%) and 2715.30 (middle line of Bollinger Bands).

Technical indicators allow the asset to decline: Bollinger Bands are reversing upwards, the MACD histogram has moved into the negative zone, and Stochastic, having entered the oversold zone, is directed downwards.

XAU/USD: Fibonacci levels analysis

Support and resistance

Soon, the downward movement of the trading instrument may continue, and after breaking through 2596.80 (correction 0.0%, H4), it may reach the area of ​​2563.50 (expansion 100.0%, H4) and 2541.50 (correction 50.0%, D1). However, in case of a breakout of 2642.00 (correction 23.6%, middle line of Bollinger Bands, H4), growth to the area of ​​2670.00 (correction 38.2%, H4 and 23.6%, D1) and 2715.30 (correction 61.8%, H4, middle line of Bollinger Bands, D1) is likely.

Resistance levels: 2642.00, 2670.00, 2715.30.

Support levels: 2596.80, 2563.50, 2541.50.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened below 2596.80, with the targets at 2563.50, 2541.50, and stop loss 2224.00. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Long positions may be opened above 2642.00, with the targets at 2670.00, 2715.30, and stop loss 2623.00.


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