US CPI data set to show inflation accelerated in October as traders dial back Fed rate cut bets

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  • The US Consumer Price Index is set to rise 2.6% YoY in October, faster than September’s 2.4% increase.
  • Annual core CPI inflation is expected to remain at 3.3% in October.
  • The inflation data could significantly impact the market’s pricing of the Fed’s interest rate outlook and the US Dollar value.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data from the United States (US) for October, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is highly anticipated and slated for release on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT.

The US Dollar (USD) is set to rock on intense volatility likely to be spurred by the US inflation report, which could significantly impact the market’s pricing of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate outlook for the coming months.

What to expect in the next CPI data report?

As measured by the CPI, inflation in the US is expected to increase at an annual rate of 2.6% in October, a tad higher than the 2.4% growth reported in September. The core annual CPI inflation, excluding volatile food and energy prices, will likely remain at 3.3% in the same period.

Meanwhile, the monthly CPI and the core CPI are forecast to rise 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively.

Previewing the October inflation report, TD Securities analysts said: “Inflation readings should remain somewhat firmer than the Fed would prefer in the near-term, reversing some recent improvement in the pace of price changes.”



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