Daily digest market movers Australian Dollar gains capped by Australian data, but USD weakness helps

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  • The Aussie’s rise occurred despite subdued Australian CPI inflation data.
  • October's Australian CPI remained unchanged at 2.1%, below expectations, while the trimmed Mean CPI rose to 3.5% in October from 3.2% in September.
  • Energy prices significantly contributed to the low headline inflation, falling by 35.6%. Petrol prices declined by 11.5%, impacting headline inflation.
  • The RBA is unlikely to alter interest rates since these factors are deemed transitory.
  • On the US front, the Gross Domestic Product from Q3 was reported at 2.8% as expected.
  • Other data showed that Initial Jobless Claims declined to 213K, surpassing expectations, while Durable Goods Orders rose by a modest 0.2% in October, below forecasts.
  • The highlight was the the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which rose 0.2% MoM and 2.3% YoY, in line with expectations.
  • Core PCE Price Index increased by 2.8% YoY, meeting market estimates.
  • Following the data, the odds of a cut by the Fed in December remain high at around 60% but declined significantly in November, which favoured the Greenback’s rise.


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