
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently near the 3453 resistance zone, showing strong upward momentum after a sustained rally from mid August. Price action is now pressing against the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting stretched conditions in the short term. The stochastic oscillator is also in the extreme overbought region above 90, highlighting potential exhaustion, though the broader structure remains bullish as long as support holds.
The chart reflects a consolidation battle near recent highs, with 3498 acting as the major barrier to further gains. A clear breakout above this level could trigger a stronger rally toward new highs, while rejection here may lead to a corrective pullback toward the 3350–3308 support region. As long as the price stays above the deeper support zone around 3247–3215, the broader bullish bias remains intact, with dips likely to attract fresh buying interest.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold is benefiting from continued demand amid uncertainty surrounding U.S. interest rate policy and sustained central bank accumulation. These supportive macro drivers add weight to the bullish trend, even if short-term overbought conditions suggest the possibility of a pause or retracement before another leg higher.
Market Observation & Strategy Advice:
1. Current Position: Gold (XAUUSD) is trading near the upper band of its recent range, hovering around the 3445 zone after a steady rally.
2. Resistance: Strong resistance is observed at 3453–3498, where selling pressure has historically emerged.
3. Support: Key support lies at 3350–3308, with a deeper cushion around 3247 if momentum weakens.
4. Indicators: The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory above 90, signaling possible short-term exhaustion. Bollinger Bands show price pressing at the upper band, indicating stretched conditions, while the broader trend remains supported by consistent higher lows.
5. Trading Strategy Suggestions:
- Breakout Play: Enter long positions if price breaks and sustains above the 3453–3498 resistance zone, targeting higher extensions while trailing stops to lock in gains.
- Buy on Dips: Look for buying opportunities on retracements toward the 3350–3308 support area, with stop-losses placed just below 3247 to manage downside risk.
- Short-Term Caution: Given overbought signals on the Stochastic oscillator, consider partial profit-taking or tighter stop adjustments in case of a corrective pullback.
Market Performance:
Precious Metals Last Price % Change
XPTUSD 1,364.70 +0.12%
XAGUSD 39.8090 +0.30%
Today’s Key Economic Calendar:
JP: Capital Spending YoY
AU: Building Permits MoM Prel
AU: Company Gross Profits QoQ
CN: Caixin Manufacturing PMI
UK: Nationwide Housing Prices MoM & YoY
UK: BoE Consumer Credit
Risk Disclaimer This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investments involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult your financial advisor for personalized investment strategies.
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