Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of February 23-27, 2026 ...từ Followme

23 Feb 2026, 11:58 · Views 9,024

Weekly Economic Calendar: Week of February 23 - 27, 2026 (GMT+8)
This week’s macro calendar is anchored by late-week U.S. inflation and labour signals, with U.S. PPI as the main trigger for USD repricing. Early in the week, BoE Gov Bailey’s remarks can drive GBP volatility, while U.S. CB Consumer Confidence sets the tone for demand expectations. Mid-week, U.S. President Trump’s comments may spark headline-driven swings, and German GDP plus EU CPI will shape EUR rate expectations. Crude Oil Inventories could spill into inflation pricing and USD cross-flows. The week closes with German CPI followed closely by U.S. PPI which brings a tight back-to-back inflation window where EUR and USD can move fast.

Time	Cur.	Events	Fcst	Prev
Tuesday, February 24, 2026
21:15	GBP	BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
22:00	USD	CB Consumer Confidence (Feb)	87.6	84.5
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
9:00	USD	U.S. President Trump Speaks
14:00	EUR	German GDP (QoQ) (Q4)	0.30%	0.30%
17:00	EUR	CPI (YoY) (Jan)	1.70%	1.70%
22:30	USD	Crude Oil Inventories		-9.014M
Thursday, February 26, 2026
20:30	USD	Initial Jobless Claims	216K	206K
Friday, February 27, 2026
20:00	EUR	German CPI (MoM) (Feb)		0.10%
20:30	USD	PPI (MoM) (Jan)	0.30%	0.50%

Key highlights:

🇬🇧 BoE Gov Bailey Speaks – Tuesday 21:15
🇺🇸 CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) – Tuesday 22:00
🇺🇸 U.S. President Trump Speaks – Wednesday 09:00
🇩🇪 German GDP (QoQ) (Q4) – Wednesday 14:00
🇪🇺 CPI (YoY) (Jan) – Wednesday 17:00
🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – Wednesday 22:30
🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims – Thursday 20:30
🇩🇪 German CPI (MoM) (Feb) – Friday 20:00
🇺🇸 PPI (MoM) (Jan) – Friday 20:30

Macro Analysis:
🇬🇧 BoE Communication Trigger (Bailey Speaks) – Tue: A guidance-sensitive GBP volatility point. Any hints on inflation persistence, growth risks, or rate-path direction can quickly reprice GBP pairs.

🇺🇸 U.S. Demand Pulse (CB Consumer Confidence) – Tue: A clean read on consumer sentiment that can tilt USD risk appetite. Strong confidence supports growth resilience; weaker confidence can revive slowdown pricing.

🇩🇪 EUR Growth Anchor (German GDP QoQ, Q4) – Wed: Shapes the EUR growth narrative. A stronger print supports EUR via improved growth confidence; a weaker print leans defensive and can pressure EUR through softer rate expectations.

🇪🇺 EUR Inflation Signal (CPI YoY, Jan) – Wed: A rates-expectations mover for EUR. Hotter inflation tends to firm EUR as markets price tighter policy; softer inflation does the opposite.

🇺🇸 Inflation Via Energy Channel (Crude Oil Inventories) – Wed: Large draws can lift crude and inflation expectations; builds can pressure oil and cool near-term inflation pricing—often showing up in USD rates and broader risk tone.

🇺🇸 Labour Checkpoint (Initial Jobless Claims) – Thu: A high-frequency read on labour conditions ahead of Friday’s inflation trigger. Lower claims usually supports USD/yields; higher claims can pull yields down and weigh on USD.

🇩🇪 EUR Inflation Pulse (German CPI MoM, Feb) – Fri: A key EUR risk-tone driver right before U.S. data. Hotter CPI can firm EUR via ECB-path expectations; softer CPI can fade EUR momentum.

🇺🇸 U.S. Inflation Pipeline Anchor (PPI MoM, Jan) – Fri: The week’s main USD repricing window. PPI shifts “inflation pipeline” expectations and can quickly reset yields, USD direction, and risk sentiment into the close.

Speculative Outlook for USD Traders:
This is a late-week inflation + labour week, so positioning can reprice fast depending on claims (Thu) and PPI (Fri), with extra whipsaw risk from headline events and oil-driven inflation expectations.

🟢 Bullish USD Scenario
CB Consumer Confidence (Tue 22:00) prints stronger (demand resilience supports yields)
Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 20:30) come in lower (labour stays tight)
Crude Oil Inventories (Wed 22:30) show a draw that supports oil/inflation expectations
PPI (MoM) (Fri 20:30) prints firmer (sticky inflation / higher-yield narrative)

🔴 Bearish USD Scenario
CB Consumer Confidence (Tue 22:00) disappoints (growth concern builds)
Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 20:30) surprise higher (cooling growth signal)
Crude Oil Inventories (Wed 22:30) show a build that pressures oil / cools inflation expectations
PPI (MoM) (Fri 20:30) comes in softer (disinflation narrative strengthens, yields ease)

🟡 Wild Cards (High Whipsaw Risk)
Headline-driven spikes: “Speaks” events (Wed 09:00, Tue 21:15) can create fast, reversal-prone moves
Tight back-to-back inflation window (Fri 20:00 → 20:30): German CPI then U.S. PPI can cause rapid EUR/USD two-way volatility
Oil-to-FX spillover: A surprise crude inventory swing can distort inflation pricing and trigger sudden USD repricing
Mixed signals: Strong confidence but weaker claims (or vice versa) can produce choppy, non-trending USD action

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