USD/MXN inches lower near 17.06 ahead of Mexico Retail Sales

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  • USD/MXN continues to lose ground despite the dovish Banxico.
  • Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) are expected to be flat at 0.0% and yearly data to ease at 2.0%.
  • US Dollar remains stable despite downbeat US bond yields.

USD/MXN extends its losses for the third successive day, stretching lower near 17.06 during the European hours on Wednesday. Mexico’s Retail Sales data for October is set to be released on Wednesday. The monthly change is expected to be flat at 0.0% against the decline of 0.2% in September. While yearly data is predicted to ease at 2.0% against the 2.3% prior.

Additionally, despite the dovish comments from Bank of Mexico (Banxico) Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja, the Mexican Peso (MXN) showed resilience against the US Dollar (USD). Governor Ceja remarked on the decrease in inflation, pointing out that if the disinflationary trend persists, there's a possibility of contemplating interest rate cuts in the first quarter of 2024.

On the other side, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams presented a counterpoint, opposing the speculation surrounding a potential rate cut in March by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Additionally, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly emphasized that making predictions about the policy stance for the upcoming year is premature. In a Wednesday morning interview on Fox TV, Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, echoed a similar sentiment, cautioning that the market's optimism for interest rate cuts may have gone beyond realistic expectations.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades higher around 102.20, receiving the downward pressure on a dovish sentiment surrounding the US Federal Reserve (Fed), indicating the potential for rate cuts in early 2024. Furthermore, the downbeat US Treasury yields contribute to pressure to undermine the Greenback. The 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds inch lower to 4.39% and 3.89%, respectively, at the time of writing.

USD/MXN: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 17.0673
Today Daily Change -0.0020
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 17.0693
Trends
Daily SMA20 17.2622
Daily SMA50 17.5769
Daily SMA100 17.4275
Daily SMA200 17.5195
Levels
Previous Daily High 17.1744
Previous Daily Low 17.0289
Previous Weekly High 17.4668
Previous Weekly Low 17.141
Previous Monthly High 18.0807
Previous Monthly Low 17.0338
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 17.0845
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 17.1188
Daily Pivot Point S1 17.0074
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.9454
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.8619
Daily Pivot Point R1 17.1528
Daily Pivot Point R2 17.2364
Daily Pivot Point R3 17.2983
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