Currency Speculators...từ InvestMacro

29 Jan 2023, 23:44 · Views 104

Currency Speculators add to EuroFX bullish bets as EURUSD trades at 1.0900 The Euro speculator positions have now been above +100,000 contracts for the past thirteen consecutive weeks which is the best streak since early in 2021. The Euro strength index, a measure of positions compared to the past three year’s range, has now moved up to a level of 76 percent strength of last three years.

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The Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 278,653 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -17,551 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 296,204 net contracts. This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 86.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 61.2 percent. Price Trend-Following Model: Uptrend Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Uptrend.

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Weekly Speculator Changes led by Platinum & Silver Leading the gains for the metals was Platinum (4,739 contracts) with Silver (4,077 contracts), Gold (3,145 contracts) and Palladium (650 contracts) also showing positive weeks. The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Copper (-2,495 contracts) with Steel (-201 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

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3-Year Strength Scores led by Mexican Peso & British Pound COT Strength Scores (a normalized measure of Speculator positions over a 3-Year range, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is Extreme-Bullish and below 20 is Extreme-Bearish) showed that the Mexican Peso (100 percent) and the British Pound (82 percent) lead the currency markets this week. Bitcoin (69 percent) comes in as the next highest in the weekly strength scores. On the downside, the Swiss Franc (0 percent), the Japanese Yen (0 percent), the US Dollar Index (1 percent), the Australian Dollar (4 percent) and the Canadian Dollar (16 percent) come in at the lowest strength levels currently and are all in Extreme-Bearish territory (below 20 percent). Strength Statistics: US Dollar Index (0.9 percent) vs US Dollar Index previous week (3.5 percent) EuroFX (27.5 percent) vs EuroFX previous week (33.6 percent) British Pound Sterling (82.1 percent) vs British Pound Sterling previous week (76.6 percent) Japanese Yen (0.0 percent) vs Japanese Yen previous week (11.5 percent) Swiss Franc (0.0 percent) vs Swiss Franc previous week (1.1 percent) Canadian Dollar (16.1 percent) vs Canadian Dollar previous week (16.9 percent) Australian Dollar (4.4 percent) vs Australian Dollar previous week (1.9 percent) New Zealand Dollar (39.0 percent) vs New Zealand Dollar previous week (43.3 percent) Mexican Peso (100.0 percent) vs Mexican Peso previous week (99.2 percent) Brazilian Real (30.3 percent) vs Brazilian Real previous week (45.8 percent) Bitcoin (68.8 percent) vs Bitcoin previous week (50.2 percent)

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large speculative New Zealand Dollar currency positions gained this week by over +6,000 net contracts. The NZD net positions have now increased for six consecutive weeks – adding a total of +37,842 contracts to the net position in that time. This improvement has taken the NZD spec contracts to the most bullish level in the past three hundred and twenty-three weeks, dating back to April 17th of 2018.

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Currency Speculator raised their bets for Canadian & Australian Dollars Leading the gains for the currency markets was the Canadian Dollar (25,519 contracts) with the Australian Dollar (17,980 contracts), the Mexican Peso (7,552 contracts), the New Zealand Dollar (6,313 contracts), the Swiss Franc (2,333 contracts) and with Bitcoin (99 contracts) also showing positive weeks. The currencies seeing declines in speculator bets on the week were the Japanese Yen (-26,147 contracts), the EuroFX (-16,382 contracts), the British Pound (-3,573 contracts), the Brazilian Real (-2,563 contracts) and with the US Dollar Index (-73 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

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