📊 Macro Drivers for...từ NORDFX Global

14 Apr 2025, 18:13 · Views 43

📊 Macro Drivers for the Week: Inflation, Rates & Earnings 📈💶📉 As we enter the week of 14 April, global markets are navigating a tricky economic landscape shaped by 📌 inflation dynamics, 📉 central bank policies, and 💼 corporate earnings. 🇺🇸 U.S. Inflation & Fed Outlook March brought a surprise decline in U.S. wholesale inflation, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) falling 0.4% MoM, driven by an 11.1% drop in gasoline prices ⛽. But don’t celebrate too soon—🚨 new tariffs on Chinese goods (up to 125%) are already fuelling price hikes in areas like steel (+7.1%), putting upward pressure on future inflation 📈. These developments may complicate the Fed's rate cut timeline. 🔍 🇪🇺 ECB to Cut Rates? The European Central Bank is widely expected to lower its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.25% this week 🏦. The move reflects growing downside risks to both economic growth and inflation. A strong euro 💶 and persistent trade tensions 🌍 are adding to the pressure. 💼 Earnings Season in Focus Markets are bracing for key Q1 earnings reports from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citigroup and tech leaders like Netflix and TSMC. Investors are watching for signs of 📊 consumer strength, 💸 corporate resilience, and 🧭 guidance in an uncertain policy environment. 📲 Stay ahead of the curve and turn macro insights into profit opportunities with NordFX! 👉 Start Trading Now https://nordfx.com/?id=1187185 #NordFX #Forex 📉 #Inflation 🔥 #Rates 📊 #ECB 🏦 #Fed 🇺🇸 #EarningsSeason 💼 #MacroView #TradingInsights 💹

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📉 Trading During Low Liquidity Periods – Do’s and Don’ts 🕒 Low liquidity means fewer market participants, wider spreads, more slippage and sudden price spikes. These periods often appear during holidays, late sessions or around major data releases. Smart risk control is essential. ✅ Do’s • Use smaller position sizes to limit exposure. • Prefer limit orders so you control your entry price. • Trade during the most active sessions for tighter spreads. • Apply strict risk management and lower leverage. ⚠️ Don’ts • Don’t treat thin markets like normal trading hours. • Don’t chase breakouts – many moves are just liquidity spikes. • Don’t use large lot sizes when spreads widen. • Don’t ignore session timing or holiday calendars. Low liquidity is manageable if you stay disciplined, patient and selective. Sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. 👉 Start trading safely with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 📈✨

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🌅 Morning Update (05.12.2025) Asian markets opened on a steady, upbeat note. 🇨🇳 China’s indices add around 0.80–1.10%, 🇸🇬 SG20cash slips 0.08%, 🇦🇺 AU200.cash edges +0.10%, while 🇯🇵 JP225 softens 0.25%. 📌 Traders await the delayed U.S. PCE data for September, a key gauge for inflation expectations. 🇯🇵 Japan’s household spending plunged –3.0% y/y and –3.5% m/m in October, well below forecasts, signalling weak demand and complicating the BOJ policy debate for December. 🏦 Yet despite softer consumption, the BOJ is preparing for a 25 bp hike, aiming for 0.75% next month with scope for gradual tightening later. 🤖 The WSJ reports Masayoshi Son is exploring a multibillion-dollar AI industrial-parks project on U.S. federal land under the new U.S.–Japan trade framework. 🥇 Gold holds above 4,200 USD per ounce, gaining 0.42%, while 🛢️ oil slips 0.27% to 59.50 USD. 🎥 Reports say Netflix is in exclusive talks to acquire Warner Bros Discovery, negotiating around 28 USD per share. 🇮🇳 India’s RBI cut rates by 25 bp to 5.25%, citing resilient growth and easing inflation. Governor Malhotra called it a “rare golden period.” 💥 In Shanghai, Moore Threads skyrocketed 400% on debut after a 1.1 billion USD IPO, underscoring China’s push to build its own GPU powerhouse amid U.S. export restrictions. 📌 Trade informed. Stay ahead with NordFX.

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🌅 Morning Update (28.11.2025) 📈 Risk appetite continues to lift sentiment. Nasdaq futures tick up 0.2%, while Bitcoin rises above $91.8K, gaining more than 10% from last week’s dip near $81K. 🌏 Asian markets moved unevenly. Chinese indices slipped slightly, while 🇯🇵 Japan edged higher. 🇰🇷 KOSPI is closing November with a 4% decline, its weakest month since October 2024. 🇯🇵 Japan’s data came in broadly stronger. 🏘️ Housing starts increased 3.2% y/y (vs forecast –4.9%). 🛍️ Large-scale retail sales rose 5% y/y (previous 3%). 🏭 Industrial production gained 1.4% m/m, beating expectations of –0.6%, although softer than the earlier 2.6%. 🛒 Retail sales rose 1.7% y/y, above the 0.8% estimate. 💴 Foreign investment in Japanese stocks dropped to –348.7B (previous 1,020.9B), while bond inflows increased to 576.5B. 📊 Tokyo inflation stayed elevated. Core CPI came in at 2.8% y/y, slightly above the 2.7% estimate, while headline CPI printed 2.7%, matching the forecast. 🇪🇺 European sentiment is also mixed. Germany reported a small –1K change in unemployment (better than the expected 4.5K), and import prices rose 0.2% m/m, beating forecasts. ⚠️ CME trading halt: A technical issue forced the CME to suspend futures and options trading, affecting US Treasuries and S&P 500 contracts. Traders also reported disruptions in forex trading on the EBS platform. 👉 Stay tuned with NordFX for more updates and keep your strategy sharp in fast-moving markets.

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🌅 Morning Update (25.11.2025) 🇺🇸 Wall Street bounced back strongly yesterday. The Nasdaq jumped by 2.69%, the S&P 500 gained 1.55%, and the Dow Jones added 1.4% as expectations of a December Fed rate cut continued to rise. Recent comments from Daly, Waller, and Williams pointed to growing confidence in a cut, although the final decision will depend on inflation, labour market data and industrial activity. Markets now price in roughly a 70–75% chance of easing next month, supporting sentiment across equities and risk assets. 🇯🇵🇺🇸 Takaichi and Trump are expected to discuss Trump’s recent conversation with Xi amid rising tensions around Taiwan. 🇺🇦🇺🇸 The White House described talks with Ukraine as productive, while the European Commission plans to send a team to Washington for further discussions. 🇨🇳🇷🇺 Xi announced a tightening of China’s energy partnership with Russia, with both sides exploring expanded oil exports in response to US sanctions. Oil prices are stabilising near $58.5 per barrel. 🌏 Asian markets followed Wall Street’s momentum. Nikkei 225 rose 0.14%, Hang Seng climbed 1.2%, Shanghai Composite added 1.1%, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dipped slightly by 0.1%. 🇰🇷 Bank of Korea kept rates at 2.50%, but a weak won and property-sector risks may delay cuts until early 2026. 🇨🇳 PBoC set the USD/CNY midpoint at 7.0826, stronger than expected. 💱 FX market: the dollar strengthened against the yen but eased slightly against the euro and the pound. 🥇 Commodities: gold trades near $4,140, silver around $51.4 per ounce. 💹 Crypto: sentiment improved as expectations of a December Fed cut grew. Bitcoin trades around $87,975, Ethereum near $2,915. 🤖 Tech: Alphabet is expanding in the AI-chip segment with new TPU models and may challenge Nvidia’s dominance.

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Understanding Market Microstructure: Why the Order Book Matters 📊🔥 The order book is a real time list of buy (bid) and sell (ask) orders for any asset, whether forex, stocks or crypto like Bitcoin. It shows where traders want to transact and at what price 💡 This is your window into market depth. When the book is deep, large trades can be absorbed without major price moves. When it is thin, even small orders can push prices sharply 📉📈 Why it matters: price movement is often driven by the imbalance between buyers and sellers at the best bid and ask. When one side dominates and liquidity is low, prices tend to shift quickly ⚡ How traders use it: • Limit orders waiting in the book often reveal potential support and resistance zones 🎯 • Watching liquidity disappear or pile up can warn of breakouts or reversals before charts react 👀 • Order flow behaviour helps assess slippage risk and detect when volatility is about to rise 🚀 Understanding the order book gives you insight into what could happen next, not just what has already happened. Ready to apply this knowledge in real trading? Open an account and explore market depth in action 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... Stay smart, stay informed, and keep learning 📚✨

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