Interest Rate Expect...từ NORDFX Global

04 Dec 2025, 21:16 · Views 2,300

Interest Rate Expectations and Their Impact on Q1 2026 FX Trends 🌍📈 Markets are increasingly pricing in further Fed rate cuts in early 2026 — after an expected December move that could bring policy rates closer to 3.00–3.25%. By contrast, the ECB looks set to keep rates stable near 2.00% as euro-area inflation eases. 💱 What could this mean for FX? • Pressure on the US dollar may persist • EUR/USD has scope to push higher if expectations hold • Some emerging currencies may benefit from a softer dollar ⚡ Q1 could bring stronger volatility and new directional trends as traders reposition around policy shifts. Ready to trade these moves? 🚀 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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🚀 Crypto News of the Week (03–10 Dec 2025) 📈 Market Snapshot bitcoin regained momentum, trading around 92,500–93,000 USD after last week’s selloff. Optimism returned across the market as Ether climbed above 3,300 USD, while many altcoins posted broad double digit gains. Enthusiasm touched nearly every sector, from DeFi and Layer 1s to tokenised assets and meme coins. 🏦 Institutional Moves and Forecasts A major new bitcoin accumulation vehicle made its debut on the NYSE, backed by one of the largest stablecoin issuers. The listing boosted sentiment and supported the broader rebound. At the same time, one global bank lowered its bitcoin year end forecast for 2025 to 100,000 USD, citing weaker demand from corporate treasuries, though it kept a highly bullish long term outlook for the next decade. ⚖️ Regulation and Policy Across Europe, regulators are working to unify crypto oversight under a single supervisory authority to reduce fragmentation and tighten compliance for service providers. In Italy, authorities launched an in depth review of risks associated with retail crypto investing as adoption continues to rise. 🌍 Global and Political Developments European authorities dismantled a large cross border crypto money laundering network worth roughly 700 million USD, shutting down fake exchanges and fraudulent affiliate schemes. In the United States, a new survey showed that among young men aged 18–29, crypto ownership now surpasses traditional retirement savings, with bitcoin becoming a preferred long term investment choice. 😄 Fun Fact of the Week During the latest rebound, 95 of the top 100 cryptocurrencies moved higher in a single day. Such synchronised growth across the entire market happens rarely and signals a strong shift in sentiment. 🔥 Takeaway for NordFX Traders Volatility remains elevated, but the week is full of opportunities!

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📊 New on the NordFX Blog: How to Trade News & Macro Events Economic data, central-bank meetings, inflation reports and geopolitical developments shape every major market move. Understanding these drivers is essential whether you trade forex, gold, oil, indices, or crypto. In this new article, NordFX breaks down: • How to navigate the economic calendar • Why CPI, GDP, NFP and rate decisions move markets • How macro events affect different asset classes • How to manage risk during high-volatility sessions The article is practical, structured, and designed to help traders build a clearer framework for interpreting market reactions. Read it here 👉 https://nordfx.com/useful-arti... 🧠 A great read for anyone looking to trade smarter during news events.

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Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for December 08 – 12, 2025

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🌅 Morning Update (12.12.2025) 📈 Wall Street is hovering near record highs, but caution is creeping into the tech sector. Broadcom (AVGO.US) slid nearly 5% after earnings, weighing on sentiment. S&P 500 futures are flat, while Nasdaq 100 futures are down around 0.5%. 🗓 With a light macro calendar today, markets are watching speeches from Fed members Paulson, Hammack and Goolsbee. In Europe, attention turns to CPI data from Germany and France, alongside UK GDP figures. 🏛 In Thursday’s cash session, the S&P 500 gained 0.2% to a fresh all-time high. However, some investors trimmed exposure to AI-linked stocks after Oracle’s results. Broadcom’s earnings were record-breaking, but a softer AI sales outlook disappointed markets. 🌏 Asia-Pacific markets are extending gains, supported by record highs on Wall Street and expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The MSCI Asia Pacific index rose 0.9%, heading for its strongest close since mid-November. 🇯🇵 Japan led the region, with the Topix nearing a record high. Financials outperformed on speculation that the Bank of Japan could raise rates as early as next week. 🇨🇳 China moved in the opposite direction. Despite fresh support measures, the lack of additional fiscal stimulus for 2025 cooled sentiment and triggered profit-taking. 🌍 Global equities remain strong. The MSCI All Country World Index added another 0.1% after hitting a record yesterday and is on track for a ~21% gain in 2025, its best performance in six years. 🛢 Commodities & crypto: 🔩 Copper is stable after a recent record breakout 🏗 Most industrial metals are rising on a more dovish Fed tone 🥇 Gold is correcting after three days of gains, but easing expectations remain 🪙 Silver stays near record levels 🛢 Oil has rebounded from almost two-month lows ₿ bitcoin is range-bound near USD 92,500, struggling to break sustainably above the USD 94,000 area

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🌅 Morning Update | 15 December 2025 📈 Futures on major European and US equity indices are opening the week with a mild rebound (US500 +0.2%, EU50 +0.25%), partially recovering after Friday’s pullback linked to weak Oracle results and renewed doubts over the sustainability of the AI rally. Market sentiment is supported by a revived “less-hawkish Fed in 2026” narrative. 🏛 Donald Trump stated that US inflation has been “completely neutralised” and suggested that the future composition of the Fed should push interest rates lower. Meanwhile, Kevin Hassett, White House chief economic adviser and a leading candidate for Fed chair, reassured markets that the FOMC would retain full independence, stressing that he would not factor Trump’s views into rate decisions. 🌏 Asia-Pacific markets extended losses from Friday’s Wall Street session, pressured further by weak data from China. Chinese equities (CHN.cash) are the main laggard (-0.5%), with declines also seen in Hong Kong (HK.cash -0.1%) and Australia (AU200.cash -0.1%). Japan stands out, with the Nikkei (JP225 +0.3%) supported by stronger Tankan business sentiment and lower exposure to tech stocks. 🇨🇳 China’s November data pointed to a deepening slowdown. Retail sales rose just 1.3% y/y versus 2.8% expected, industrial production grew 4.8% versus 5%, while fixed-asset investment fell 2.6%, extending October’s decline. The property slump and weak consumer confidence remain key drags, while the auto sector was hit after local governments paused trade-in subsidies. 🇳🇿 In New Zealand, rates are likely to stay at 2.25% for an extended period if the economy evolves as projected, according to RBNZ Governor Anna Breman. 💱 In FX markets, the standout move is a rebound in the yen (USDJPY, EURJPY -0.55%) as Japan heads toward a potential rate hike later this week. The US dollar index (USDIDX) is down 0.05% amid diverging global policy expectations

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