🌏 Morning Update - ...từ NORDFX Global

19 Feb 2026, 15:21 · Views 153

🌏 Morning Update - Thursday, 19 February 2026 Asia-Pacific markets are mostly higher in thin holiday trade, with parts of the region still closed for Lunar New Year. South Korea is leading the move - the KOSPI is up about 3% and setting a fresh record high, while Japan’s Nikkei is higher by around 0.7%. Australia also joined the risk-on tone, with the ASX 200 up about 0.9% and hitting a new intraday record. 📈 🇦🇺 Australia’s labour data kept the Aussie dollar supported: employment rose by 17.8k in January, the unemployment rate held at 4.1%, and hours worked increased by 0.6%. The details suggest demand remains resilient, which keeps the RBA rate outlook firmly in focus. 💵 🇺🇸 Wall Street closed higher overnight, led by tech: the S&P 500 finished at 6,881.31 (+0.56%), the Nasdaq at 22,753.64 (+0.78%), and the Dow at 49,662.66 (+0.26%). Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest messaging, with traders sensitive to any “higher for longer” implications. 🏛️ 🛢️ Geopolitics remain the key wildcard. Oil is holding near recent highs on US-Iran tension headlines, with Brent around $70.5 and WTI around $65.4. Gold is steady near $5,000/oz as safe-haven demand stays in the background. 🟡 📅 Today’s focus (US): Trade Balance (Dec), Weekly Jobless Claims, and crude oil inventories later in the day. Trade smart and stay tuned with NordFX! 🚀

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Morning Update | 11 February 2026 ☀️📊 Markets are positioning cautiously ahead of today’s key US labour data, while Asia delivered a relatively constructive start. 🌏 Asia & FX Asian equities moved moderately higher. The Kospi gained around 0.8%, while the Hang Seng added about 0.3%, reflecting stable risk sentiment. The Japanese yen continues to outperform in FX despite the bank holiday in Japan, strengthening against most major currencies. Antipodean currencies are also firm after hawkish signals from the RBA. The US dollar remains under pressure overall. 💱 🇦🇺 In Australia, markets are still digesting last week’s rate hike to 3.85%, with pricing implying a significant probability of another move higher in May following renewed hawkish rhetoric from the RBA. 🇨🇳 China Inflation Data (January) China’s CPI rose 0.2% y/y, below expectations of 0.4% and down from 0.8% previously. Producer prices remain in deflation, with PPI at -1.4% y/y, though slightly less negative than forecasts. The yuan remained broadly stable amid ongoing PBoC management. 🇺🇸 United States – Focus on NFP Recent comments from Fed officials Hammack and Logan leaned hawkish, pushing back against expectations of rapid policy easing. All eyes now turn to Non-Farm Payrolls at 15:30, alongside the unemployment rate and private payrolls. These figures could significantly shift expectations for the Fed’s next moves. 🛢 Commodities & Crypto Precious metals are showing moderate strength, with silver up about 2.1% and gold higher by roughly 0.66%. Oil traders are also watching US crude inventories later today. Bitcoin is under mild pressure, trading near the 67,000 area at the time of writing. 🪙 ⚡ Volatility risk increases into the US session. Labour data can reset expectations across FX, metals, indices and crypto. Stay sharp and manage your risk wisely.

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📊 Market Expectations vs Reality – How Mispricing Forms Markets entered 2026 expecting steady growth, easing inflation and strong risk appetite. But reality keeps forcing adjustments 🌍 In gold, prices have swung between inflation fears and a stronger US dollar narrative. When traders price in aggressive rate cuts that don’t materialise, bullion can become temporarily mispriced. 🪙 Oil has traded on supply concerns and geopolitical risk, yet softer global demand signals have repeatedly triggered pullbacks. Expectations of tight deficits don’t always match real consumption data. 🛢️ Crypto shows the same pattern. Bitcoin and major altcoins often rally on momentum and ETF or adoption narratives, then correct sharply when flows slow or macro pressure builds. 🔄 Mispricing forms when expectations outrun fundamentals – whether inflation data, energy demand or liquidity conditions. When reality catches up, prices adjust fast, sometimes overshooting. 💥 Smart traders look for these gaps between narrative and data. 🔎 Ready to trade with clarity? 👉 https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 📈 Markets react to expectations. Profits come from understanding reality.

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🌅 Morning Update | Fri, 13 February 2026

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🌏 Morning Update – 5 February 2026 (Thu) 📉 Market mood: Risk appetite remains fragile after another tech-led pullback in the US. The Nasdaq fell about 1.5%, the S&P 500 eased roughly 0.5%, while the Dow held up better and finished slightly higher as investors rotated into defensive stocks. After-hours trading saw some stabilisation following strong results from Alphabet, though US index futures remain slightly in the red. 🌏 Asia: Most major indices opened lower, following Wall Street’s weakness. Tech stocks stayed under pressure amid a broader reshuffle as investors searched for clearer winners, while China and Hong Kong showed relative resilience. 💱 FX: The US dollar firmed further ahead of key central bank decisions. The euro and pound softened slightly, USD/JPY remained elevated, and risk-sensitive currencies continued to lag in a cautious market environment. 🛢️ Commodities: 🥇 Gold edged lower again as a stronger dollar and reduced geopolitical risk weighed on prices despite ongoing safe-haven demand. 🥈 Silver remained extremely volatile and extended sharp losses. 🛢️ Oil slipped as markets focused on potential US–Iran diplomacy, even as broader Middle East risks remain in play. ₿ Crypto: bitcoin stayed under pressure near the $70k area, with the broader sell-off showing few signs of exhaustion as risk appetite across global markets remains subdued. 🗓️ Today’s key events (Economic Calendar): 🇬🇧 Bank of England – Rate decision, minutes, votes, and Quarterly Inflation Report (14:00) 🇪🇺 ECB – Rate decision and press conference (15:15–15:45) 🇺🇸 Weekly Jobless Claims (15:30) and JOLTS Job Openings (17:00) 🇨🇿 CNB rate decision (15:30) ✅ Expect elevated volatility around central bank headlines today - sharp moves and false breakouts are possible. 🚀 Trade smart and stay tuned with NordFX!

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🌅 Morning Update | 16 February 2026 (Mon) A new week is starting in a holiday-thinned market. 🇺🇸 U.S. cash equities and bonds are closed for Presidents’ Day, while mainland China is shut for Lunar New Year, so liquidity is thinner than usual and early moves may look muted or choppy. 📉 Asia: calm tone, low volatility Japan’s Nikkei is hovering around flat near 56,956, while India’s Nifty 50 is steady around 25,493. 🇯🇵 Japan: GDP misses expectations Japan’s Q4 GDP came in soft at +0.2% annualised and +0.1% q/q, keeping traders cautious on the policy outlook and weighing on the yen. 💱 FX: yen softer The yen is giving back part of last week’s strength, with USD/JPY around 153.15 in early trade. Risk-sensitive FX is broadly steady in thin conditions. 🇳🇿 New Zealand: expansion, but momentum cools The services sector stayed just in expansion with PSI at 50.9, but the pace is slowing. January electronic card spending fell -1.1% m/m, suggesting softer post-holiday demand. 🥇 Metals: profit-taking Gold is easing on the day, with spot around $4,986/oz, and silver also lower near $75.64/oz. 🔥 Natural gas: biggest mover Natural gas is the standout decliner again, with the front contract near $3.018. ₿ Crypto bitcoin is trading around $68,400–$68,700 after failing to hold above $70,000. 🗓️ Week ahead The focus shifts to FOMC minutes and TIC flows (18 Feb), then flash PMIs and PCE inflation (20 Feb) - all in a week where tariff-related headlines could also add volatility. 🚀 Thin liquidity can exaggerate moves - trade smart and have a strong week with NordFX!

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