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🌅 Morning Update: Markets Wake Up to Oil Shock and Central Bank Risk ⚡️🛢️ Markets remain defensive this morning after the Fed kept rates unchanged and signalled only one cut this year, while emphasising that inflation is still elevated and the outlook remains uncertain. US equities closed lower on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 down around 1.4%, the Dow down about 1.6%, and the Nasdaq losing roughly 1.5%. Treasury yields moved higher as expectations for aggressive easing were scaled back. 📉 The key driver continues to be geopolitics. Following the latest escalation in the Middle East, oil extended its rally, with Brent trading around $111-112 and WTI near $97-100, reinforcing stagflation concerns. Asian markets declined, while the US dollar stayed broadly supported as investors sought safety. 🌍 In FX, the US Dollar Index is near 100.0, EUR/USD is trading around 1.14-1.15, GBP/USD near 1.32-1.33, and USD/JPY is holding close to 159, keeping intervention risks in focus. In crypto, Bitcoin is hovering near $70,000-71,000, showing relative resilience despite the risk-off mood. Gold remains under pressure after the recent pullback, trading below recent highs. 💱 Today’s spotlight shifts back to central banks. The Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are both due to announce policy decisions. Markets expect rates to remain unchanged, but traders will be watching closely for any shift in tone, especially given rising energy prices and persistent inflation risks. 🏦 ⚠️ Focus for today: oil volatility, central bank signals, and whether risk assets can stabilise after the Fed. Right now, markets are reacting more to energy shocks than to rate expectations. Trade smart with NordFX 🚀📊

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