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EUR/GBP trades with a firm tone near 0.8640 as markets brace for CPI data from the Eurozone and UK due Wednesday.Risk sentiment improves after Monday’s Trump-Zelenskyy summit fuels hopes of Ukraine peace progress.ECB President Lagarde’s speech on Wednesday could provide fresh forward guidance on inf

GBP/JPY slips toward 199.50 after failing to sustain gains above 200.00, as strong Japan GDP revives Yen demand.Japan’s Q2 GDP and sticky inflation fuel BoJ tightening bets, with markets eyeing a potential October rate hike.Reuters poll expects Japan's core CPI to rise 3.0% in July, down from 3.3% i

EUR/USD is rebounding toward its 50-day moving average, but resistance near 1.18 could cap gains, leaving the pair vulnerable to a pullback toward 1.1525 or lower, Société Générale's FX analysts note. Resistance near 1.18 May cap Euro’s recovery "EUR/USD is attempting to reclaim the 50-day moving av

You can feel it in the room before anyone says it — that low-voltage hum that isn’t quite fear but definitely isn’t comfort. Screens are glowing, squawk boxes muttering, and somewhere deep in the options pit, someone’s whispering stagflation. Not the polyester-suit, gas-line version of the 1970s, bu

AUD/USD climbs for the fourth straight day, buoyed by a weaker US Dollar and rising expectations of a September Fed rate cut.Markets are fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on August 12, which would bring the cash rate down to 3.60%.All major Australian

BoE cuts base rate by 25bps to 4.0% as expected; MPC split was more hawkish than expected. Upside inflation risks and downside labour-market risks exacerbate divisions on the MPC. There might be another cut in Q4, although it has become a close call between November and December. Further cuts in 202

A private-sector member of the Japanese government’s Economic Council said on Thursday that he is “worried that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may be behind the curve vs. inflation, which is already affecting people's livelihood,” per Reuters. Another member of the council said, “Japan now needs the policy

GBP/USD up 0.37%, trading near 1.3342 ahead of Thursday’s BoE decision.BoE expected to cut Bank Rate to 4%; split vote likely among MPC members.NIESR warns UK needs urgent tax hikes to fill £50B fiscal gap.Fed’s Daly leans dovish after soft NFP; Kashkari still sees two cuts in 2025. The GBP/USD clim

USD/JPY is range bound around 147.60, BBH FX analysts report. Weak wage growth limits BoJ hike prospects "Japan wage growth rise less than expected in June. Nominal cash earnings printed at 2.5% y/y (consensus: 3.1%) vs. 1.4% in May reflecting the outcome of this year's annual spring labor-managemen

The economic calendar in CEE this week has three central bank meetings, alongside a series of other macroeconomic releases. The week begins with Romania’s PPI for June and Slovenia’s trade balance. On Tuesday, attention turns to the Czech Republic, where the flash CPI is expected. We forecast headli

Outlook We get a ton of releases today, some expected to be quite grim (housing) and some others probably pretty good (JOLTS). We suspect consumer confidence will rebound some more, which is dollar-favorable. We had a lot of Chicken Littles saying “the sky is falling, the sky is falling.” Well, it’s