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In focus today In the euro area, this week's focus is on the flash HICP inflation print for September, with data from Spain and Belgium due today. We expect euro area HICP inflation to rise to 2.3% y/y (prior: 2.0%) mainly due to energy price base effects, while core inflation is also expected to in

United States: The balance of risks has shifted The steadiness in consumer spending has helped prevent widespread layoffs, but rising tariff-related costs have limited firms’ ability to expand payrolls or undertake major capital investments. These crosscurrents have curtailed job creation and kept i