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CEE: Decline of trade value with the US
On the radarUnemployment rate in Hungary eased to 4.3% in May.In Slovenia retail sales growth in May will be published at 10.30 AM CET.Otherwise, there are no releases scheduled.Economic developments On 9 April, the US announced a 90-day pause on all universal tariffs impacting the EU, and the EU sw
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AUD/USD: Expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6465/0.6515 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade in a sideways range of 0.6465/0.6515 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, current price movements are likely part of a broad range trading phase between 0.6385 and 0.6555, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Current price mo
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BoE sows scepticism on August cut as it holds rates
The Bank of England didn’t rock the boat too much following its June meeting. Policymakers described the UK economy as “weak”, while flagging the recent softening in Britain’s labour market and noting that they are keeping tabs on what this means for inflation. The vote on rates was also slightly mo
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DXY: Geopolitical concerns overshadow Fed – OCBC
In the FX space, geopolitical concerns appear to have overshadowed the FOMC outcome. Last at 99 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Risk aversion dominates sentiments "Bloomberg carried headlines on 'US eyes this weekend for Iran attack', 'US plans for any Iran attac
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FOMC Kept Rates On Hold As Expected, USD Higher After Powell’s Presser
Partner Center The FOMC maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.25-4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting while revising economic projections lower for growth and higher for inflation, signaling a more cautious stance on monetary easing. Key Takeaways from the June FOMC Statement Interest rate
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The Japanese central bank left the base rate unchanged at 0.5%
Markets The situation in the Middle East continues dominating headlines. Israel’s rapid dominance over western Iranian skies lowered chances of an escalation with Iran rumored to be willing to restart nuclear talks. The 1%‐rebound of stock markets adds to our hypothesis that – apart from oil prices
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WW3-on, WW3-off: Markets spin the Mideast roulette wheel
Markets didn’t walk into Monday—they exhaled. After a weekend of sirens, fireballs, and backchannel diplomacy, the risk complex tiptoed back into the light, clutching at the thinnest thread of truce hopes. Traders, ever the eternal optimists when the tape allows it, ripped off Friday’s fear premium
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FX daily: Geopolitical risk storms back into the picture
The Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities has sent oil prices spiking and has offered the oversold and undervalued dollar a catalyst for a rebound. The energy price shock is generally disliked by the euro and gives the Federal Reserve an argument to stay cautious. We see more short-term downsi
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Gold surges as Israel-Iran tensions, renewed tariffs threats support haven flows
Gold prices rally as tensions between Iran and Israel boost Bullion’s safe-haven appeal.Investors await the US PPI inflation data for more clues about the Fed’s potential rate-cut move and keep an eye on fresh tariff threats from Trump.XAU/USD extends gains, with prices currently testing wedge resis
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US CPI takes centre stage today
In focus today The most important data release today will be the US May CPI. We forecast headline inflation at +0.2% m/m SA (2.5% y/y) and core inflation at +0.2% m/m SA (2.9% y/y) - slightly below consensus on the latter. We expect firms to gradually pass through the rising tariff costs to core goo
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US Commerce Sec. Lutnick: Talks with China are going well
United States (US) Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told reporters on Tuesday that trade talks with China are going well and added that he expects talks to continue all day, per Reuters. Market reaction This headline failed to trigger a noticeable market reaction. At the time of press, the US Dolla
