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Three days, eight dice rolls and one market crossroads
Wall Street’s walking into a three-day meat grinder—GDP, the Fed, payrolls, and four of the world’s most systemically important stocks all crowding into the same narrow macro window. Toss in the August 1 tariff trigger and you’ve got enough tinder to blow the lid off this low-vol regime. No more coa
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USD/JPY outlook: Bulls start to lose traction ahead of key barriers but still hold grip
USD/JPY Strong rally in past three days started to run out of steam on Tuesday, as daily action was so far shaped in long-legged Doji candle that signals indecision. Bulls show signs of fatigue after retracing over 76.4% of 149.18/145.85 bear-leg and hitting recovery high just under key near-term su
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EUR/USD forecast: Euro slides -200 pips as Fed decision and NFP loom – Recovery or more downside?
Euro breaks down -200 pips after invalidating the 4H FVG at 1.1739–1.1745, sliding toward the 1.1556 support zone.Rate differentials and strong U.S. data continue to favor the dollar, as the Fed’s 4.50% hold contrasts sharply with the ECB’s 2.15%.Fed rate decision and NFP on deck could act as the ca
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The most explosive week for commodities is here – Will you capitalize? [Video]
Commodities are on the cusp of a break or break moment as a series of major macro catalysts converge – in what can only be described as the most pivotal week of the year for commodity markets. For savvy traders, this week could define the trajectory of gold, silver, copper, oil and agricultural mark
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Federal Reserve preview: Fed to hold the line, but cuts are coming
The jobs market continues to hold up despite concerns about a cooling economy, while officials remain nervous about the effect of tariff-induced price hikes on inflation. We see no interest rate cut this month, but the Fed is expected to start laying the groundwork for a move, most likely in Decembe
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Week ahead: Fed’s interest rate decision, US data and Trump’s deadline
The week is nearing its end and we have a look at what next week’s calendar has in store for the markets. We make a start with an easy Monday with UK’s CBI distributive trades for July and continue on Tuesday with Sweden’s preliminary GDP rate for Q2 and the US consumer confidence indicator for July
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Gold price remains depressed below $3,400 amid trade optimism; downside seems limited
Gold price attracts some follow-through selling as trade optimism undermines safe-haven demand.The Fed rate-cut uncertainty keeps the USD bulls on the defensive and could support the commodity. Traders now look to the release of flash global PMIs and the US macro data for a short-term impetus. Gold
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Week ahead: ECB updates and PMIs ahead
Where we were Tariff threats and ‘announcements’ from US President Donald Trump have taken a back seat in the financial markets. As of now, traders appear to have become numb to Trump’s chaotic back-and-forth trade policy approach. What caught the market’s attention last week, however, was a rumour
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ECB's Panetta: Should continue easing policy if downside growth risks reinforce disinflation
European Central Bank (ECB) executive board member Fabio Panetta argued on Friday that the ECB should continue to ease the monetary policy if downside growth risks reinforce the disinflationary process, per Reuters. Key takeaways "Monetary policy approach in coming months must remain flexible and pr
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DXY: Temporary boost on the day – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) saw a bump higher overnight after payrolls report came in stronger than expected – NFP +147k (vs. 106k expected) while unemployment rate dipped to 4.1% (vs. 4.3%), initial jobless claims also fell. DXY was a touched firmer; last at 97 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Chr
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Central banks intend to buy more Gold – Commerzbank
Gold remains in high demand among central banks. According to a survey published a few days ago by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF), a third of the 75 central banks surveyed plan to buy Gold in the next 1-2 years, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes. U
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Fed's Hammack: Policy could be on hold for quite some time as Fed seeks clarity
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said on Tuesday that the rate policy could remain on hold for quite some time as the Fed seeks clarity, per Reuters. Key takeaways "I don't see any imminent case to cut interest rates." "Fed has time to make next decision on monetary pol
