tradeFX

After months of brinkmanship, false starts, and a market more focused on Nvidia than NAFTA, the tariff trigger was finally pulled—and the world barely blinked. But beneath the surface of Thursday’s tepid market reaction lies a rewiring of global trade dynamics that’s anything but benign. Trump’s new

The New Zealand Dollar edges up, favoured by a mild USD correction with investors bracing for the Fed decision.The Fed is widely expected to keep rates on hold at the 4.25%-4.50% range.Somewhat earlier, a significant rebound of the US Q2 GDP might provide support for a hawkish Fed stance. The New Ze

The US and EU Commission made a trade agreement with an unbalanced deal that slapped a headline 15% tariff on EU goods. The Dollar Index is rising within its 96-99 range and a confirmed break past 99 can take it towards 101. The Euro has fallen below 1.16 and can test 1.15-1.14 if the fall extends,

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 145.95/146.95 against Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, rapid increase in momentum indicates USD could weaken to 145.75, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Rapid increase in momentum indicates USD can weaken 24-HOUR VIEW:

S2N spotlight Let me start this section by saying it is very easy to criticise and pass judgement, especially when you are not the one in the hot seat facing impossible decisions that are a matter of which option is least bad. So I write this from the safety of my cave. Over the last few weeks the s

The U.S. government posted a surplus in June as tariffs gave an extra bump to a sharp increase in receipts, the Treasury Department said Friday. With government red ink swelling throughout the year, last month saw a surplus of just over $27 billion, following a $316 billion deficit in May. That brou

Outlook appears unclear; New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could trade in a range between 0.5995 and 0.6045 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, price action indicates that further NZD weakness is likely; the level to watch is 0.5950, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Price a

Precious metals rally on risk aversion as trade uncertainty grows.Trump's threats of higher blanket tariffs have boosted demand for safe assets.XAG/USD has pierced the $37.30 long-term high with bulls focusing on $37.65. Silver (XAG/USD) extends gains for the second consecutive day on Friday, suppor

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While forecasters are overwhelmingly bearish on the dollar now – and some are bearish on a multi-quarter basis too – one possible shoe still to drop is the possibility of early Fed rate cuts, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes. DXY to continue finding support in the 96.35/50 area "Today's US jo

GBP/JPY stays under strong selling pressure and trades below 196.00 on Wednesday.UK gilt selloff weighs on Pound Sterling.UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer refused to confirm that finance minister Rachel Reeves will remain in her position. Pound Sterling stays under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday

EUR/USD trades in positive territory near 1.1720 in Monday’s early Asian session. US Consumer spending unexpectedly fell in May, undermining the US Dollar. German Retail Sales and CPI inflation data will be the highlights later on Monday. The EUR/USD pair extends the rally to around 1.1720 during th