八月的夏威夷北岸，冲浪者总在等待完美的浪涌。他们深谙一个真理：真正的盈利机会不在于频繁划水，而是准确识别并驾驭那些具有延续性的大浪。持续盈利的秘诀不在于预测风暴，而在于建造能乘风破浪的方舟。 一、趋势跟踪：在无序中捕捉有序 核心论点：市场70%的利润来自30%的趋势行情，趋势跟踪是跨越牛熊的生存法则 2015年瑞郎黑天鹅事件中，当多数交易者爆仓时，趋势跟踪却逆势盈利23%。这并非侥幸，而是严格执行200日EMA均线趋势策略的结果。当价格连续三日收于均线下方时自动触发反向对冲，这种机械式执行恰恰利用了极端行情中的惯性动能。 趋势跟踪的本质是承认市场不可预测性，转而捕捉已经形成的价格惯性。就像台风

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