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On the radarPolish central bank kept the key policy rate unchanged at 5.25% In Czechia, inflation rate increased to 2.4% in May. Retail sales (excluding auto) grew 5.8% y/y in April, while real wage growth in 1Q25 was at 3.9% y/yToday, there are no releases scheduled.Economic developments Euro area

Japanese Yen (JPY) is strong, up 0.8% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming most of the G10 currencies in an environment of broad-based USD weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes. BoJ to maintain tightening bias "Domestic data remain strong, and the latest manufacturi

Global equity markets and the dollar start the week a little softer as trade tensions between the US and China start to reappear. It's not quite fair to say that the US-China trade deal reached in Geneva last month is unravelling, but both sides clearly seem frustrated. Social media posts from US Pr

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FX markets should focus on two themes today: the US Court of International Trade ruling that the majority of President Trump's tariffs are illegal, and insights from the minutes of the 7 May FOMC meeting, which suggest that dollar selling in April was driven by hedging rather than outright sales of

In a courtroom twist fit for a political thriller, the U.S. Court of International Trade has just yanked the brakes on Trump’s so-called Liberation Day Tariffs, ruling that his tariff bazooka overshot its legal range under the IEEPA. The White House has already hit the appeal button, and this legal

WTI crude oil price fell below $61 per barrel on May 23, marking its first weekly decline in three weeks. The sharp drop came after OPEC+ discussions emerged about raising crude production quotas, potentially adding 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July. HighlightsWTI crude slips below $61 per barre

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate by 25bps to 3.85%, as we had expected. The policy statement and Governor Bullock’s subsequent press conference both screened as dovish. An escalation in trade tensions or labour market weakness may spur more aggressive RBA policy easing, Standard

WTI price weakens amid oversupply fears following potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks.President Trump stated that Ukraine and Russia are preparing to begin immediate ceasefire negotiations, potentially without US involvement.The PBoC lowered both the one- and five-year Loan Prime Rates by 10 ba

The weekend brought good news. The negotiations between American and Chinese officials this weekend in Geneva went well – apparently – as US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that ‘substantial progress was made.’ The foretaste of de-escalation is giving a boost to risk appetite this morning –although