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Morning briefing: Euro tested the resistance near 1.1600 before coming down
Weaker than expected US PPI ramped up the expectations that rate cuts by FED can happen soon. The Dollar Index tested 97.60 before rising a bit from there. A further rise past 99 will confirm that the downtrend has ended and a fresh rally can begin. On the other hand, Euro tested the resistance near
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Pound Sterling slumps as UK economy shrinks in April
The Pound Sterling faces a sharp selling pressure against its major peers as the UK economy declined at a faster-than-projected pace in April.Slower labor demand and economic contraction might encourage BoE officials to consider more interest rate cuts.US President Donald Trump confirms the import o
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Japan: BoJ to pause hike in June, continue QT – Standard Chartered
Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike by 25bps in Q4 on concerns over growth momentum. USD/JPY’s failure to break below 142 on multiple occasions since May raises the risk of a short squeeze. The BoJ to continue with QT at JPY 400bn per quarter from April 2026. Other permutations exist, such as staggering o
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USD: Focus on the $58bn 3-year auction – ING
Examining FX performance from both a spot and total return perspective over the last month reveals a bloc of four currencies that stand out. These are the Norwegian Krone, the Pound Sterling and the Australian and New Zealand Dollars. What does GBO have in common with these commodity currencies? Hig
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Tokyo navigates the three-headed trade deal hydra
What should have been a straightforward bilateral negotiation is now a front-row seat to a diplomatic circus, with Japan forced to navigate a three-headed Hydra of American trade policy. Each head has its own agenda. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent speaks the language of markets and pragmatism. UST
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Limited inflation pressures allow BOJ to stay cautious – BBH
JPY is underperforming all major currencies, BBH FX analysts report. BOJ patience remains justified amid mixed wage data "Japan’s April labor cash earnings report was mixed. Nominal cash earnings were softer than expected at 2.3% y/y (consensus: 2.6%) vs. 2.3% in March but the less volatile schedule
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Ten-year yield below 4.36% signals USD/JPY breakdown
With 4.36% now the fulcrum of May’s 4.15%–4.57% range, a yield drop reaffirms Fed dovish bets and undercuts USD/JPY—failure below 142.39/142.11 opens the door to 141.00, while a yield rebound above 4.44% can spark a USD/JPY bounce into 143.42/144.20. 1. Fundamental highlights Fed policy & inflat
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Construction spending drops in April
Summary Residential and nonresidential outlays fall in april Total construction spending declined 0.4% in April, the third straight monthly drop. The pullback in total overall outlays largely reflects the high interest rate environment, which continues to cut into residential demand and stand in the
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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Flat as inflation cools, as US-China tensions rise
USD/CHF stuck between 0.8180–0.8300; buyers unable to sustain breakout above 0.8300.RSI remains bearish; break below 0.8200 could expose May 7 low and YTD trough at 0.8034.Bulls must reclaim 0.8250 to retest 0.8300 and challenge 50-day SMA at 0.8376. The USD/CHF trades subdued on Friday after a US r
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rates could come down if tariffs are avoided by a deal or otherwise
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said on Thursday that they could return to a situation where interest rates could come down if tariffs are avoided by a deal of otherwise, per Reuters. "If politics controls the interest rate, inflation is coming back," Goolsbee added a
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USD/CHF steadies above 0.8250 as SNB Chairman flags concern over strong Swiss Franc and low inflation
USD/CHF hovers near 0.8280 after Tuesday’s nearly 1% rally, supported by a firm US Dollar.The US Dollar Index DXY remains firm near 99.60 ahead of the release of the FOMC minutes later on Wednesday.SNB Chairman says negative inflation is possible, but the central bank’s focus is on medium-term price
