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Rising wedge and latest decline
S&P 500 tried to push higher, led by tech (which was the area that brought clients‘ very short-term gains yesterday), alongside the dollar that continued consolidating with a bullish bias. The key question brought up in the below caption (and what kind of sectoral consequences that can have). Ge
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USD advance shows signs of stalling – Scotiabank
The US Dollar (USD) has seen a solid advance so far this week as trade deals, or at least their outlines, are reached and US/China trade talks resume. But as we approach the 'business' end of the week, with the FOMC decision tomorrow and jobs data Friday, dollar gains are moderating and may be stall
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Fed’s balancing act in focus as inflation lingers and USD/JPY eyes key breakout
With inflation running hot and the labor market showing signs of softening, the Federal Reserve enters a pivotal week. A flurry of economic data will give markets more clarity on whether the U.S. economy is gradually cooling or nearing a point of policy shift. Here’s a breakdown of the key developme
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USD undertone remains soft – Scotiabank
President Trump announced that the US had reached a 'massive' trade deal with Japan yesterday evening (involving Japan paying a 15% reciprocal tariff and investing some USD550bn in the US). The news prompted some relief across markets—Treasurys have sold off, along with other major bond markets—but
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Japanese Yen retreats sharply from two-week high against USD amid political uncertainty
The Japanese Yen gets a minor lift after Trump announced US-Japan trade deal. Domestic political uncertainty prompts heavy intraday selling around the JPY. A modest USD bounce from a two-week low further supports the USD/JPY pair. The Japanese Yen (JPY) retreats sharply from a two-week top touched a
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Martinis, multiples, and melt-ups: Welcome to the 6,300 club
Afterparty on Wall Street’s rooftop The S&P 500 just served up a top-shelf rally cocktail—part earnings daiquiri, part consumer data martini, both shaken with a twist of “Goldilocks” swagger. Thursday’s session wasn’t just another green day; it was a full-blown afterparty on Wall Street’s roofto
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EUR/JPY clings to gains near mid-172.00s, remains close to YTD peak amid a weaker JPY
EUR/JPY attracts some dip-buyers and reverses the overnight pullback from a one-year top.Reduced BoJ rate hike bets and domestic political uncertainty continue to undermine the JPY.Resurgent USD demand weighs on the Euro, albeit doing little to hinder the pair’s move up. The EUR/JPY cross regains po
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USD/CHF maintains position near 0.8050 despite improved Swiss Trade Balance data
USD/CHF appreciates as the US Dollar rises amid rising odds of the Fed maintaining its interest rates in July.Swiss trade surplus widened to CHF 4.3 billion in June, nearly doubling from CHF 2.2 billion in the previous month.New York Fed President John Williams said that monetary policy is appropria
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The commodities feed: OPEC leaves outlook unchanged
Oil prices edged lower yesterday, with a stronger US dollar providing headwinds for the market. Energy – OPEC output rises The oil market continued to edge lower yesterday, with a stronger US dollar providing some headwinds. In addition, no immediate action from the US against Russia following Presi
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Daily Trump roundup: Airplanes, tariffs, Russia
United States (US) President Donald Trump touched on a wide variety of topics on Tuesday. Donald Trump reiterated that a trade deal with Indonesia has been reached, and will include the purchase of 50 Boeing airplanes by Indonesia, as well as a new 19% tariff on all Indonesian goods exported to the
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Industrial performance varies compared to last year
On the radar In May, average real wage in industry in Slovakia declined by -0.4% y/y, while industrial sales were up by 3.6% y/y. Current account deficit in May was at CZK 5.83 billion in Czechia and PLN -1.74 billion in Poland. In Romania, year-to-date current account deficit reached EUR 12.63 bill
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Trump’s tariff threats, Bitcoin surges, stocks and Bonds slide as Gold and Oil climb
Stocks and Bonds Stuggle. Trump turns up the heat on Tariffs leaving GS surprised! Both Kevin’s vying for position. Bitcoin kisses $120k – it is Bitcoin Week in DC. Oil up, Gold up, Yields up. Try the NE Clam Chow-Dah! Here we go again – Trump turns up the heat on tariffs, the VIX rallied by 3%, the
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Pound Sterling declines at start of UK data-packed week as new tariff threats sour sentiment
The Pound Sterling extends its downside against its peers amid growing UK economic risks.US President Trump imposes 30% tariffs on imports from the Eurozone and Mexico, keeping markets risk-averse.This week, investors will closely monitor CPI data for June from both the UK and the US. The Pound Ster
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EUR/USD hesitates near weekly lows as trade tensions grow
The Euro trades flat after bouncing from 1.1700 with investors still wary of risk.Trump's new taxes on copper and pharmaceuticals have increased uncertainty about global trade.The lack of progress in the Eurozone-US negotiations poses headwinds to a significant Euro recovery. The EUR/USD pair is pra
