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EUR/USD forecast: Euro slides -200 pips as Fed decision and NFP loom – Recovery or more downside?
Euro breaks down -200 pips after invalidating the 4H FVG at 1.1739–1.1745, sliding toward the 1.1556 support zone.Rate differentials and strong U.S. data continue to favor the dollar, as the Fed’s 4.50% hold contrasts sharply with the ECB’s 2.15%.Fed rate decision and NFP on deck could act as the ca
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EUR/USD: Consolidation on the daily chart – OCBC
Euro (EUR) consolidated overnight after 4 days of rally. Pause comes as markets re-evaluate prospects of trade deals. EU believe a trade deal with US is within reach ahead of 1 August deadline. Pair was last seen at 1.1740 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. EUR’s ru
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5 Things Traders Need to Know About Japan’s Upper House Election Results
Partner Center After months of political uncertainty and rising prices straining voters, Japan’s ruling coalition has officially lost its majority in the upper house election, marking the first time since 1955 that the LDP has lost control of both parliamentary chambers. For traders out there who ne
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WTI flattens around $66 even as EU approves sanctions on Russia
The Oil price trades broadly flat around $66.00 while EU has approved sanctions on Russian energy exports.US tariff uncertainty has limited the upside in the Oil price.US President Trump threatens to increase the baseline tariff rate for imports from the EU. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on
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Hungary to keep rates stable
The Hungarian central bank will hold a rate-setting meeting on Tuesday, and we expect stability of rates given recent inflation development. Poland will release data on industry and retail for June, allowing us to already see economic performance in the whole second quarter of 2025. On top of that,
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DXY: Signs of exhaustion – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) was a touch softer this morning on comments from Fed’s Waller. DXY was last at 98.37 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Still reasonable to plan on 2 rate cuts in 2025 "He believes it makes sense for the Fed to cut 25bp at the upcoming FOMC. He reite
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- Orham :fantastic 🙂🙂🙂🙂
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USD GBP and CIT
USD The NY time zone continues to buy USD as CTAs unwind USD shorts and the US data fails to offer any sort of cyclical reasoning for bearish USA views. Inflation data have been mixed with mildly worrisome CPI components and PPI weak with stonking upside revisions. USDJPY has been spicy, time-zone w
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EUR: French political noise returns – ING
Some headlines about French politics might have gotten into the mix on a bad day for the euro yesterday, although no spillover into the OAT-Bund spread means the effect should have been marginal if anything, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes. EURUSD remains an extension of broader USD sentimen
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UK inflation jumps in June, but it won’t derail an August rate cut
UK inflation rates rose by more than expected last month. The headline rate rose to 3.6% from 3.4%, expectations were for inflation to remain at 3.4%. The core rate jumped to 3.7% from 3.5% and service price inflation defied hopes for moderation and stayed at 4.7%. This is the highest rate for headl
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Dazed and confused
The Dollar continues to get bought by bits and pieces. We live in a world of Opposites. Good Day... And a Tub Thmpin' Thursday to one and all! What an embarrassment outing for the Cardinals' pitchers last night... I think the team has gone about as far as they can go with 3 of their starters... Thei
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GBP/JPY retreats from near one-year highs as Yen regains ground
GBP/JPY eases from near one-year highs, retreating after rising to 199.83 — the highest level since July 2024.The technical picture remains bullish, with GBP/JPY holding above the 21-day EMA at 197.15.RSI hovers near 60, indicating sustained bullish momentum, while the MACD maintains a positive cros
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China's PPI slides, Australian Dollar steady
The Australian dollar is almost unchanged on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6532, up 0.03% on the day. China's PPI declines 3.6% China's producer price index surprised on the downside in June, with a steep 3.6% y/y decline. This was below the May decline of 3.3% and the
