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USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1700 and 7.1950 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1700 and 7.1950. In the longer run, USD has likely moved into a 7.1620/7.2200 range trading phase, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. USD has likely moved back into a range trading phase 24-HOUR VIEW: "We expected USD t
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USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1660 and 7.1860 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 7.1660 and 7.1860. In the longer run, mild downward pressure could lead to USD edging lower; it remains to be seen if it can reach 7.1400, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Mild downward pressure could lead to USD edging
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ECB could wait until October before next rate cut
The ECB slashed rates by another 25 basis points on Thursday in a near unanimous vote (only one member dissented). An eighth consecutive interest rate cut had been universally expected by market participants and was, indeed, fully priced in prior to Thursday’s meeting. The staff HICP forecasts were
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Treading water ahead of a possible NFP economic storm
Treading water Markets did what they often do on the eve of Non-Farm Payrolls—they drifted sideways in a fog of indecision. Intraday positioning is light, conviction lighter. Investors are trimming their exposure like chefs prepping for a storm, not wanting to be caught off guard by one more whipsaw
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EUR/USD: Likely to trade in a range of 1.1270/1.1435 for now – UOB Group
There is scope for the sharp rally to extend; deeply overbought conditions suggest any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.1330/1.1415. In the longer run, increase in momentum is not enough to indicate a sustained advance; EUR is likely to trade in a range of 1.1270/1.1435 for now, UOB Gro
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Canada: BoC to extend the pause – Standard Chartered
BoC to keep the policy rate on hold at its 4 June meeting (instead of a 25bps cut). With the policy rate at neutral, BoC has been unwilling to ease more unless growth goes further south. There should be two more 25bps cuts for the remainder of 2025 as growth softness supports lower rates, Standard C
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Encouraging start to Poland’s second quarter
While economic growth eased slightly in 1Q25 after a solid 4Q24, we find some encouraging signs in the April data, suggesting the second quarter brought some improvements. GDP growth in 2025 in excess of 3% still looks a safe forecast. However, the expected rebound in fixed investment is likely to c
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EUR/CHF price analysis: Cross struggles amid mixed technical signals
EUR/CHF was seen around the 0.94 zone on Friday, with minor gains.The cross maintains a bearish bias despite mixed technical signals.Key support is clustered below the 0.9350 level, with resistance near 0.9360. The EUR/CHF pair is navigating a cautious tone on Friday, hovering around the 0.94 zone w
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Trifecta trigger: CPI fizzle, Saudi flows, and Trump truce ignite S&P rally
S&P snaps back as CPI fizzles The 2025 equity tape just flipped bullish in real time, with the S&P 500 reclaiming its mojo and erasing its year-to-date losses-driven by a monster bid under the biggest names in tech. Nvidia, AMD, and the rest of the semiconductor heavyweights powered the char
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US will cut "de minimis" tariffs on China shipments from 120% to 54%
Citing a White House executive order, Reuters reported on Tuesday that the US will cut "de minimis" tariffs on China shipments from 120% to 54%, with a minimum flat fee of $100 to remain. Meanwhile, China announced that it has removed a ban on Boeing deliveries after the trade truce with the US. Sha
