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ECB won't push back against market pricing
We think that the bar for another rate cut is so high that even a perfectly timed Armand Duplantis vault would struggle to clear it. The ECB held rates unchanged for the first time in over a year at the last meeting in July, while giving no indication to markets that this would be a one-off. The ton
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Aims to extend upside towards 0.6000
NZD/USD advances to near 0.6000 as the NZ Dollar capitalizes on an upbeat market mood.Inflation in China declined at a faster-than-expected pace in August.Investors await key US PPI data for August. The NZD/USD pair trades 0.22% higher around 0.5940 during the European trading session on Wednesday.
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NVIDIA Corp. $NVDA Blue Box Area Offers A Buying Opportunity
Hello everyone! In today’s article, we’ll examine the recent performance of NVIDIA Corp. ($NVDA) through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory. We’ll review how the rally from the April 2025 low unfolded as a 5-wave impulse followed by a 7-swing correction (WXY) and disc
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What should we take away from this summer’s economic developments?
Broadly speaking, the economic outlook for the global economy at the beginning of September remains largely unchanged from that at the end of July: namely, an economy that, overall, continues to withstand the double blow of US tariffs and uncertainty. Our current scenario expects an average annual g
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GBP/USD trades with positive bias above 1.3500; modest USD strength caps gains
GBP/USD draws support from the divergence in BoE-Fed policy expectations.A modest USD uptick caps gains ahead of the final UK Manufacturing PMI.Trades also seem reluctant ahead of this week’s important US macro data. The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a positive note and holds steady above t
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US Vice President Vance: Don't think we allow bureaucrats to make monetary policy decisions
US Vice President (VP) JD Vance, in an interview with USA Today on Thursday, confirmed the end of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) autonomy. Vance noted: "I don't think we allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without any input from the people that were elected to s
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When is the Tokyo CPI release, and how could it affect USD/JPY?
Tokyo CPI inflation Overview The Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation print, due at the tail end of the Thursday market session at 23:30 GMT, will give markets the latest peek at how Japanese inflation is ticking away under the hood. The Tokyo-focused CPI release on Thursday leads the national
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Gold price rises noticeably after Powell speech – Commerzbank
The price of Gold jumped by around $50 to just under $3,380 per troy ounce on Friday afternoon, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes. Gold might not overpass the $3,400 mark "This was triggered by Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the annual Fed symposium in Jackson Hole. In his speec
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USD: Tightrope walk for the dollar – Commerzbank
The coming weeks, and probably even months, are likely to be a tightrope walk for the dollar against the backdrop of the Fed's adjusted stance. Our economists had been expecting interest rate cuts in September and December for some time, precisely because they anticipated that the FOMC and Fed Chair
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Powell’s dovish speech fuels risk appetite [Video]
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech was surprisingly dovish. Investors lapped up his words, betting that the first Fed rate cut since last September is now only weeks away. Markets cheered: the S&P 500 brushed against record highs, small caps soared, and Asian equitie
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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Hesitates around 199.00 in risk-off markets
The Pound appreciates for the second day in a row, but is showing signs of hesitation above 199.00 The cautious mood ahead of Powell's speech, due later today, is adding weight on the pair.Technical indicators show a weak bullish momentum below the 199.45 resistance area. The Pound has returned abov
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SPX still vulnerable?
S&P 500 duly tanked on hot PPI, yields and dollar spiked, with the key area dealing clients short profits being Russell 2000 and other interest rate sensitive plays. For all the risk-off day (gold and silver vs. oil were called great too – first two down vs. oil up), stocks staged decisive comeb
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