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Underlying assumptions regarding supply are too optimistic – Commerzbank
Such a significant oversupply as anticipated by the IEA would exert considerable pressure on oil prices, like in 2020, which would have a negative impact on oil production, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes. OPEC+ oil production has risen by 1 million bpd "It is therefore questio
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Low inflation in China supports the Yuan
Deflation persists, creating opportunities to stimulate the economy. Without these measures, conditions are created for the yuan to strengthen. In August, the consumer price index returned to negative territory, dropping 0.4% year over year. Over the past two years, the average inflation rate has be
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EUR/USD: Scope to test 1.1690 before stabilisation is likely – UOB Group
Pullback in Euro (EUR) has scope to test 1.1690 before stabilisation is likely; major support at 1.1650 is not expected to come under threat. In the longer run, EUR could rise but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.1650/1.1790, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia not
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Japanese and French politics take limelight for the moment
Overview: The dollar is mostly consolidating with a softer bias after the disappointing employment report before the weekend. The derivatives market is pricing in about a 10% chance of a 50 bp Fed cut next week, which still seems exaggerated given the likely uptick in headline CPI this week. The Jap
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Spotting the ‘key level’ in any market: WTI Crude, USD/CAD, NZD/USD
Weekly thoughts Is there ONE level on your chart that tells you if you are bullish or bearish? You don’t have to have one, but having one is a very clear way to look at things. Admittedly sometimes there just isn’t one - then that might be a clue not to trade that particular market Or sometimes ther
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Will today's NFP data be trusted now that Trump fired the chief BLS statistician?
Outlook Everybody knows by now that labor market data is delivering the softness that the Fed can use to justify the Sept 17 rate cut. Well, no. They may be able to talk a decent talk, but serious economists and savvy investment managers don’t believe it for a minute. A rate cut when the economy is
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EUR/GBP faces headwinds near 0.8650 following UK Retail Sales, Eurozone GDP eyed
EUR/GBP faces a slight challenge as UK Retail Sales rose 0.6% MoM and 1.1% YoY in July.The Pound Sterling may encounter challenges as Bank of England officials deliver mixed remarks.Eurozone Gross Domestic Product is projected to hold steady at 1.4% YoY and 0.1% QoQ growth in Q2. EUR/GBP continues i
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Dungeons & Dogs Iron-on Patch for T-Shirts – Funny DnD Graphic for Dog Lovers
Bring your love of dogs and tabletop gaming together with this humorous Dungeons & Dragons-inspired iron-on patch. Designed for DIY customization, it’s perfect for T-shirts, tote bags, hoodies, face masks, and more. Product Details: Available Sizes: A6 (10.5x14.85 cm), A5 (14.8x21 cm), A4 (21x29
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