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Will the Trump tax cuts pay for themselves?
Supporters of tax cuts argue that they eventually "pay for themselves" and lower deficits through economic growth and increased revenue, even without significant spending cuts. Recent history casts doubt on this claim. Examining the three major tax cuts over the last 50 years, after initially droppi
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EUR/GBP explores one-month highs above 0.8460 with the Pound on the defensive
High UK unemployment and low wage growth figures are weighing on the Pound.The Euro is drawing support from upbeat Eurozone data and hawkish ECB speak.The pair is testing the neckline of an inverted H&S, at 0.8460. The Euro is rallying against a weaker Pound on Tuesday, with bulls pushing agains
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NFPs surprise
Yesterday‘s S&P 500 offered another trappy session, recovering from poor unemployment ddata as called, and then heading lower before AVGO earnings on Trump-Musk spat. This catalyst lined up well with my expectations of lackluster trading ahead of NFPs that has to be approached differently in ter
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Fed's Harker: Amid uncertainty, the Fed must wait and see on next policy steps
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker added his own perspective to comments from other Fed officials earlier in the day, noting that whiplash trade policies from the Trump administration are making it difficult for Fed officials to move on policy rates. Key highlights A
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The US Dollar wobbles: Should you be worried about its biggest fall in 20 years?
The US Dollar (USD), as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), has lost almost 9% since the start of the year. This is its worst performance over the first five months of the year for almost two decades. This rapid, brutal and unusual fall raises the question of why such a fall, whether it can get w
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Gold price trades with positive bias above $3,350, remains close to multi-week top
Gold price regains positive traction following the overnight pullback from a multi-week peak.Fed rate cut bets and US fiscal concerns cap the USD recovery and benefit the XAU/USD pair. Geopolitical risks and persistent trade-related uncertainties further underpin the commodity. Gold price (XAU/USD)
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Euro zone inflation falls to cooler-than-expected 1.9% in May, below ECB target
Euro zone inflation fell below the European Central Bank's 2% target in May, hitting a cooler-than-expected 1.9% on sharp declines in services, flash data from statistics agency Eurostat showed Tuesday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the May reading to come in at 2%, compared to the previ
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June starts with mixed feelings
The month of June started on a bearish note, as renewed trade tensions and mixed economic data dominated the headlines. First, tensions between the US and China notched up another level, with both countries accusing each other of violating agreements and implementing discriminatory measures. It’s no
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“Nothingburger” or legal landmine? Will markets be stuck in courtroom purgatory
In a courtroom twist fit for a political thriller, the U.S. Court of International Trade has just yanked the brakes on Trump’s so-called Liberation Day Tariffs, ruling that his tariff bazooka overshot its legal range under the IEEPA. The White House has already hit the appeal button, and this legal
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JARXE Exchange Perspective: Extreme Skew in Options Market Signals Overheated Bullish Sentiment and Elevated Short-Term Risk
A key inflection point has emerged in the Bitcoin options market: the implied volatility of call options now exceeds that of puts by nearly 10 percentage points, pushing options skew to -10%. This pronounced divergence indicates that traders are more aggressively positioning for upside potential rat
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Positive day for stocks on tariff pause
The pause on fresh EU tariffs and a better consumer confidence figure have helped to maintain the risk-on move in stocks, says Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at online trading platform IG. Tariff turnaround takes FTSE 100 past 8800 UK and US investors returned from their respective long weeke
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