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ECB’s Kocher: Stronger Euro could become a problem for exporters
In an interview published in the Austrian newspaper, Oberoesterreichische Nachrichten, on Monday, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said that "at the moment, I would not yet describe the exchange rate as a risk" when asked about the Euro-US Dollar rate. There had rec
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GBP/USD slips as weak US payroll revision keeps Fed cut bets intact
GBP/USD retreats from 1.3590 high, trading flat at 1.3542 as US jobs data adds to economic slowdown concerns.Fed cut odds unchanged with 25 bps fully priced, while just 9% of traders expect larger 50 bps easing.UK Retail Sales jump 3.1% YoY, but budget uncertainty and tax hike risks weigh on consume
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Asia open: Bad news or abyss? Markets wrestle with the narrative as data storm looms
This week isn’t about the inflation print alone—though the consensus number should be digestible enough to keep September’s cut in play. The real story is how the market absorbs the torrent of data and revisions appearing on the screens. We’re back to the old riddle: does “bad news” still lift risk,
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USD/CAD falls to near 1.3800 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls
USD/CAD loses ground as the US Dollar struggles on rising odds of a Fed rate cut in September.The US Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to rise by about 75,000 in August.Canada announced plans to provide financial assistance to domestic producers affected by US tariffs. USD/CAD halts its four-day winning
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Japan’s Akazawa: Requirement for US executive order to reduce car tariffs
Japan trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa said on Thursday that he was flying to the United States (US) as administrative talks progress. Akazawa further stated that he will continue to push for a presidential order for the tariffs that have been agreed on. Key quotes Visiting U.S. as administrative iss
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EUR/GBP edges higher above 0.8700 as UK fiscal worries grow
EUR/GBP strengthens to near 0.8700 in Wednesday’s early European session.UK borrowing costs hit their highest since 1998, the GBP falls on fiscal worries. The ECB’s Lagarde speech will be the highlight later on Wednesday. The EUR/GBP gains ground to around 0.8700 during the early European session on
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EUR/USD: Political risk premium misplaced – OCBC
Euro (EUR) slipped modestly but still traded near recent highs of 1.17 levels. Pair was last at 1.1650, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Daily momentum is mild bullish "FX markets have so far 'ignored' the French political drama risk and we cautioned against complacency i
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NVDA and July PCE later this week
EU mid-market update: Quiet start to week with UK markets closed for holiday; China indices rallied on new stimulus hopes; NVDA and July PCE later this week. Notes/observations - Quiet session with UK markets closed for banking holiday; China indices rallied after Shanghai was reported to ease home
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CNY stronger again – Commerzbank
The Chinese renminbi (CNY) has gained around 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) since Jerome Powell's speech, Commerzbank's FX analyst Volkmar Baur notes. Way is clear for a slightly lower USD/CNY exchange rate "At first glance, this does not sound like much. However, for the CNY, it is quite a signif
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The Dollar finds its footing, but the Fed holds the cards
The US Dollar has shaken off its fears and gone on the counterattack. The Fed is still dependent on data. It does not allow for a 50 basis-point cut in the federal funds rate in September and a 150–175 basis points cut in the cycle. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted these figures as possible
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Canadian Dollar weakens after Canadian CPI eases faster than expected
The Canadian Dollar lost further ground against the US Dollar on Tuesday.Canadian CPI inflation eased more than expected in July, knocking back the Loonie.Despite easing inflation pressures, headline inflation metrics are still far above BoC targets. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) shed further weight on
