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Learn how Trump can say anything and get away with it
I want to celebrate this milestone, as it has come with sweat, tears, and tennis elbow. Don’t ever underestimate how painful it is; I have new respect for tennis players. 3000 doesn’t feel like a lot compared to some of the newsletters with hundreds of thousands; some have millions of subscribers. I
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ECB review: Exceptional uncertainty, but still in a good place
ECB decided to leave policy rates unchanged at today’s meeting as expected. Lagarde struck a positive tone in her economic assessment, although ECB still assess the balance of risk to growth as being tilted to the downside. Trade negotiations and data will likely determine whether to end the cutting
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XAU/USD (Gold) should continue rally [Video]
Elliott Wave sequence in XAUUSD (GOLD) suggest bullish view against September-2022 low in weekly. In daily, it should remain supported in 3, 7 or 11 swings to continue rally to extend higher. In daily, it ended ((4)) correction in 7 swings sequence at 3120.20 low in 5.15.2025 low against April-2025
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GBP/USD hits two-week low as pressure mounts
The GBP/USD pair dropped to 1.3602 on Thursday, marking a two-week low amid a strengthening US dollar and growing concerns over the UK’s public finances. The sell-off intensified after US President Donald Trump confirmed the imposition of 25% tariffs on goods from 14 countries, including Japan and S
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EUR/CHF rangebound amid diverging ECB and SNB policies
The EUR/CHF continues to trade in a narrow range as diverging ECB and SNB policies limit directional bias.The IMF and the Swiss government both downgraded their 2025 growth outlooks due to global trade risks.Eurozone sentiment improves as the Sentix index jumps to 4.5 in July. The Euro (EUR) struggl
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Euro Stoxx 50 builds base after sharp rebound – Société Générale
Euro Stoxx 50 is stabilizing after a strong V-shaped rebound from April lows, with technical signals hinting at renewed upside momentum. Key support at 5265 could pave the way for a climb toward 5435 and possibly retest the March peak, Société Générale's FX analysts note. Support at 5265 key for fur
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AUD/USD: Expected to trade in a range of 0.6550/0.6595 – UOB Group
Australian Dollar (AUD) is expected to trade in a range of 0.6550/0.6595 against US Dollar (USD). In the longer run, should AUD break clearly above 0.6595, it could trigger a further rise toward 0.6620, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Above 0.6595, AUD may rise toward 0.6
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US ADP jobs miss badly (-33k vs +99k expected)
Important News for the day Thu, 03rd, 08:30 CET CH Consumer Price Index. Thu, 03rd, 14:30 CET US Nonfarm Employment Change. Thu, 03rd, 14:30 CET US ISM Services PMI. US data disappoints The ADP employment change data from the US revealed that 33k jobs have been eliminated from the economy. It was ex
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Fed’s Kashkari: The Fed might cut rates twice this year
The President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Neel Kashkari, noted that he was sticking to his view that cooling inflation would allow the Fed to cut its policy rate twice that year, beginning in September. Key QuotesContinues to expect two rate cuts in 2025, with the possible first cut
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EUR/USD Elliott Wave update: Upward momentum resumes [Video]
The EURUSD Elliott Wave sequence initiated from the September 2022 low reveals an incomplete bullish structure, signaling potential for further upside. A short-term rally from the May 29, 2025 low is currently unfolding as a five-wave impulse. As depicted in the 1-hour chart below, wave ((i)) peaked
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