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UK GDP: US tariffs weigh on growth, but it may be temporary
Growth in the UK stalled at the start of the second quarter. GDP fell 0.3% on the month in April, while the quarterly rate remained steady at 0.7%. There were monthly declines for services and for production, although construction rose by 0.9%. There were multiple reasons for the decline in UK activ
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Stagflationary UK job report increases Bank of England rate cut bets
EU mid-market update: Stagflationary UK job report increases Bank of England rate cut bets; US-China talks continue in London; Macron did not rule out another snap elections. Notes/observations - UK job data painted a picture of rising unemployment (highest since 2020) and disappointing wages (0.2%
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DXY: Short covering underway – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) consolidates with mild upticks this morning. DXY was last at 99.15 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. US-China trade talks may lead to de-escalation "Daily momentum and RSI indicators are not showing a clear indication. Support at 98.35, 97.90 (2025
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ECB expected to cut rates once again
German factory orders beat helps lift DAX to record high.ECB expected to cut rates once again.US ADP weakness helps build rate cut hopes ahead of jobs report. German stocks are leading the way higher once again this morning, with the DAX reaching a fresh record high off the back of the EUR46bn stimu
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Trump to double tariffs on Steel and Aluminium – ING
Trump said he would increase tariffs on Steel and Aluminium to 50% from 25%, effective 4 June. He made the announcement as he visited a US Steel Corp. plant on Friday. Later on, Trump said he would raise Aluminium rates in a Truth Social post, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson
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AUD/USD holds support amid Capex miss, RBA cuts eyed – BBH
AUD/USD is holding above key support at 0.6400 but faces near-term resistance between 0.6500-0.6540, BBH FX analysts report. 1Capex disappointment weighs, but AUD holds 0.6400 "Australia private new capital expenditure (capex) unexpectedly contracted over Q1. Capex fell -0.1% q/q (consensus: 0.5%) v
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Gold price soars nearly 2% as Trump targets EU with tariff threats
XAU/USD rallies as Trump warns of 50% tariffs on EU imports, escalating trade war and boosting safe-haven demand.The US House passes a $4 trillion debt-heavy budget, with the Senate vote and inflation data in focus.Talks on Ukraine and Iran ease geopolitical stress, but markets remain risk-averse. G
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EUR steady despite continued dovishness from ECB – Scotiabank
Euro (EUR) is entering Tuesday’s NA session largely unchanged vs. the USD while trading with modest support over the past week or so, ignoring continued dovish messaging from key policymakers at the ECB, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes. No momentum in either direction "Governing
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The eco calendar is pretty empty in terms of data today but features a lot of talks
Markets Rating agency Moody’s dropped a little bombshell in late US dealings last Friday. It stripped the US of its top notch AAA-rating over, unsurprisingly, the budgetary situation: “We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current f
