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EU-US deal 'lesser of two evils' for EU
A good deal? Or has the EU capitulated? We see the terms of the deal as perhaps the lesser of two evils for the EU. Clearly, tariffs of 15% are far less severe than the 30% or even 50% levies that have been threatened by Trump in the last few weeks. Yet, these are also far harsher than the near 1% a
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Market wrap and forecast: Fed rate hike watch, Dollar bounce, Gold and Bitcoin pulls back [Video]
In this week’s market wrap, I broke down what’s happening across the board as we head into a major week filled with the Fed’s rate decision and the NFP release. The Dollar is starting to bounce after a few weeks of pressure, reclaiming some bullish structure. I walked through the key zones I’m watch
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FX alert: Eccles roulette, Dollar buckles on Powell scare, snaps back on Denial
It was the kind of headline that makes traders spill their espresso—Trump’s rumored firing of Powell, Fed Chair and custodian of the Eccles temple, ripped through the tape like a rogue algorithm. For one frantic hour, the market went full “what-if,” trying to digest a scenario that’s been lurking li
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USD rebound stalls, inflation concerns persist – Scotiabank
After gaining steadily since the start of the month, the USD’s rebound may be showing clearer signs of at least stalling this morning. The USD is trading mixed against the major currencies but is showing minor losses against the core majors and the DXY is holding within yesterday’s range at this poi
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WTI Oil dips further, approaching $65.00 on renewed fears about demand
Oil prices drop for the third consecutive day and approach the $65.00 level.The uncertain global trade outlook and the prospects of higher tariffs keep fears of a decline in demand alive.Strong US CPI data dampened hopes of Fed cuts, increasing pressure on prices. Crude Oil Prices are trading lower
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USD/JPY: Nearing overbought conditions – OCBC
USD/JPY rose amid rise in UST yields, tariff implications, sell-off in longer-dated JGBs and upper house election uncertainty. USD/JPY was last at 147.69 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Bullish momentum on daily chart intact "Struggle in the upper house has resul
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AUD/JPY remains on the defensive near 96.65 area, downside seems cushioned
AUD/JPY struggles for a firm intraday direction and oscillates in a narrow trading range.Diminishing odds for a BoJ rate hike in 2025 undermine the JPY and support the cross.The upbeat Chinese GDP print benefits the Aussie and acts as a tailwind for spot prices. The AUD/JPY cross ticks lower during
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Dazed and confused
The Dollar continues to get bought by bits and pieces. We live in a world of Opposites. Good Day... And a Tub Thmpin' Thursday to one and all! What an embarrassment outing for the Cardinals' pitchers last night... I think the team has gone about as far as they can go with 3 of their starters... Thei
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Dow Jones Futures extend losses with trade uncertainty weighing on sentiment
Dow Jones Index Futures point to a slightly negative opening with tariff fears looming.Trump postponed the deadline to August 1 and kept the door open for negotiations, which has eased risk aversion.A cautious market mood is weighing on equities and supporting the US Dollar and Treasury yields on Tu
