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Bank of England to keep rates on hold despite jobs market wobble
We expect the Bank of England to keep rates at 4.25% on 19 June, but some disappointing jobs numbers, lower wage growth and a more optimistic outlook for services inflation mean we expect cuts in August and November. Should the Bank of England be cutting rates this month? The Bank of England is high
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EUR fades a portion of this week’s gains on sentiment and softer data – Scotiabank
The Euro (EUR) is weak, down 0.6% and fully retracing Thursday’s ECB (and US PPI)-driven rally, fading back to the psychologically important 1.15 level. Medium-term outlook remains bullish "The fundamental outlook for EUR remains supportive, given the shift in the outlook for relative central bank p
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Israel strikes Iran, raising tension before US talks
In focus today In the euro area, we receive industrial production data for April. Industrial production surged by 2.2% q/q in Q1, mainly driven by front loading of exports to the US from Ireland, which recorded a 32% m/m increase in February and 45% m/m in March. Excluding Ireland, production rose 1
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ECB's Kazaks: Keeping 2% inflation will require some further cuts for fine tuning
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Martins Kazaks said on Wednesday, “quite likely keeping 2% inflation will require some further cuts for fine tuning.” Additional quotes Market pricing of one more cut or so not out of the realm of the baseline. Fine-tuning cuts will very much depend on how the
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US Pres. Trump gives negotiators room to lift export controls on China – WSJ
Citing people familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday that United States (US) President Donald Trump gave the green light to his representatives, led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, to lift export controls on a variety of Chinese products in trade talks with China i
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Finding £20bn: The UK’s hunt for cash as fiscal headroom evaporates
Wednesday’s Spending Review will epitomise just how tight things look for UK government departments. And life is only going to get harder for the Treasury in the autumn. We think the government’s ‘headroom’ will fully evaporate and that tax rises look increasingly inevitable later this year. The spe
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What to make of the USD recovery? – Commerzbank
After reaching its highest level since April at the beginning of the week, EUR/USD fell again yesterday. Some market voices attribute the US dollar's recovery to the upcoming US labour market data. If these show a continued robust labour market, as suggested by yesterday's JOLTs report, this would r
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WTI Price Forecast: Oil prices climb on weaker USD, geopolitical tension, WTI stalls near key resistance
Crude oil rises over 2.5% on Monday, trading near $62.60 after an early session jump to $63.25.WTI hovers below the 50-day EMA at $62.70, which has capped upside since mid-May.Technical indicators hint at improving momentum, but confirmation is needed for a bullish breakout. West Texas Intermediate
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AUD/JPY finds intraday sellers at equal legs area
In this technical article we’re going to look at the Elliott Wave charts of the AUD/JPY forex pair published in members' area of the website. The pair has recently given us a 3 waves bounce that completed precisely at the equal legs area as we expected. In the following text, we’ll explain the Ellio
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Australian inflation higher than expected, Aussie extends losses
The Australian dollar has extended its losses on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6415 in the North American session, down 0.44% on the day. Australia's CPI remains at 2.4% Australia's inflation rate remained unchanged in April at 2.4% y/y for a third straight month, matching the lowest rate since
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Forex Today: US Dollar retreats on fiscal concerns, Pound Sterling rises to multi-year highs
Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 23: The US Dollar (USD) struggles to hold its ground against its rivals on Friday after posting marginal gains on Thursday. The European Central Bank (ECB) will publish Negotiated Wage Rates data for the first quarter. Later in the day, New Home Sales for
