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Japan’s Yen this morning briefly fell to above USD/JPY 145.00
Markets US yields gave up a couple of basis points from Friday’s surge yesterday in choppy trading. The move end last week was inspired by the May payrolls report not delivering a feared‐for downside surprise and news of imminent trade talks between the US and China. These discussions kicked off yes
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All eyes on US-China talks
Last week ended on a positive note. Improved headlines on the trade front between the US and China and a set of better-than-expected US jobs data helped lift the S&P 500 by 1.5% over the week. The Nasdaq 100 rallied 2% despite a sharp selloff in Tesla shares amid a heated dispute between Donald
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GBP/USD hovers above 1.3550 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls
GBP/USD holds gains near 1.3616, the highest since February 2022.US Nonfarm Payrolls is expected to have added 130,000 jobs in May.GBP receives support as Trump granted temporary relief to UK exporters from steep 50% US tariffs on steel and aluminium. GBP/USD maintains its position near 1.3616, the
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US Pres. Trump: Powell must now lower the rate
In a post published on Truth Social on Wednesday, United States President Donald Trump called upon Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell to lower the policy rate. "ADP NUMBER OUT!!! “Too Late” Powell must now LOWER THE RATE. He is unbelievable!!! Europe has lowered NINE TIMES," Trump said. Ea
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US ISM Manufacturing misses consensus in May
ISM Manufacturing PMI deflated to 48.5 in May, missing consensus.The US Dollar remains well on the defensive, flirting with multi-week lows. Economic activity in the US manufacturing sector lost momentum in May, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI receding to 48.5 from 48.7 in April, coming in below anal
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Wisdom of the smart crowd
S2N spotlight A number of years ago I launched a short-lived trading strategy called Omega, which was built on the back of my thesis of the Wisdom of the Smart Crowd. The well-known idea of the wisdom of the crowd is based on the statistical evidence that taking the collective view of average people
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NZD/USD holds positive ground near 0.5900 as New Zealand Retail Sales beat expectations
NZD/USD edges higher to around 0.5900 in Friday’s early Asian session.New Zealand Retail Sales beat expectations in Q1. A stronger US S&P Global PMI might cap the pair's upside. The NZD/USD pair posts modest gains near 0.5900 during the early Asian session onn Thursday. The upbeat New Zealand Re
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A forex traders guide to the financial markets of New Zealand
The NZD is Moderately Weak and is expected to see a Moderately Bearish Influence during the upcoming seven weeks. The Reserve Bank is likely to cut its main interest rate to 3.25% on May 28th. This is a big reason the Kiwi dollar isn't looking all that strong, fundamentally speaking. The Bank's maki
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Gold price hits two-week high as USD declines on deteriorating US fiscal outlook
Gold price scales higher for the fourth straight day amid a combination of supporting factors.US fiscal concerns and Fed rate cut bets undermine the USD, benefiting the precious metal.Renewed US-China trade tensions and geopolitical risks further support the XAU/USD pair. Gold price (XAU/USD) prolon
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Macro Wrap : The “Foreign Buyer Strike” Is Real, and the Term Premium Just Lit the Fuse
Let’s get to the meat: foreign demand is faltering—and the FX market just rang the alarm. The marquee 20-year auction was billed as must-watch TV—and it didn’t disappoint the bears. It cleared at 5.047%, the highest since the tenor was reintroduced in 2020, and more importantly, it tailed. That may
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EUR/USD: A clear break above 1.1290 is unlikely – UOB Group
Chance for Euro (EUR) to retest the 1.1290 level against the US Dollar (USD) before a more sustained pullback is likely; a clear break above this level is unlikely. In the longer run, increase in momentum is not sufficient to suggest a sustained advance; EUR must first break decisively above 1.1290,
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Hidden Markov regimes
S2N spotlight My apologies I ended up going down a rabbit hole that has literally taken me about 12 hours. 10 more than I had planned on. This is a bit of a complex subject, but I am going to make it as simple as I can. My goal was to explore a concept and see if I could generate outperformance with
