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AI in the sky: A rally built on cloud, confidence, and a bit of denial
The market continues to sail through calm but watchful waters, buoyed by a fresh gust of trade optimism and a tailwind from AI-powered earnings. Thursday’s action saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq etch new record closes, not with fireworks but with quiet conviction — a nod to Alphabet’s solid quarter a
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European Central Bank pauses, but further easing still possible
Summary The European Central Bank (ECB), in a widely expected move, held its Deposit Rate steady at 2.00% at today's monetary policy announcement, marking its first pause in more than a year. The accompanying statement was neutral in tone and offered no forward guidance on future policy moves. Infla
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GBP/USD retreats from 1.3600 on strong US jobs data
US Jobless Claims drop to 217K; Services PMI beats, while Manufacturing disappoints.UK Flash PMIs show layoffs rising, reinforcing BoE rate cut expectations for August.Interest rate differential favors Dollar as BoE seen cutting, while Fed stays on hold. The GBP/USD rally stalls as the Greenback sta
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD slumps to near $3,360, fails to break triangle on upside
Gold price falls significantly as hopes of US-EU trade agreement ease global trade tensions.Washington has slashed baseline and automobile tariff rate on imports from Tokyo to 15%.The next major trigger for the Gold price will be Fed’s monetary policy announcement. Gold price (XAU/USD) trades almost
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Australian Dollar rebounds as US Dollar softens
Australian Dollar rebounds after Thursday’s sell-off triggered by weak jobs data.A softer US Dollar and falling Treasury yields ease pressure on the Aussie.US Michigan Consumer Sentiment beats expectations but fails to lift the Greenback. The Australian Dollar (AUD) is recovering lost ground on Frid
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Markets prefer to ignore politics
Outlook US data continues to show resilience and tariffs be damned. Instead of trade war stories, for the first time in weeks the top headline is about other things, like Trump cutting funding to children’s TV. The firing Powell story has some lasting power. The FT, a day after the event, found it u
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GBP/USD rises to near 1.3450 due to improved market sentiment, UoM Consumer Sentiment eyed
GBP/USD appreciates as the US Dollar loses ground following the dovish Fedspeak.San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted that expecting two rate cuts this year is a "reasonable" outlook.The Pound Sterling received support from mixed UK employment figures. GBP/USD gains ground after registering sm
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A new world order is nigh – Standard Chartered
The world is shifting from a US-led liberal order to a multipolar order based on ‘might makes right’. Trump’s foreign policy rejects multilateralism in favour of a zero-sum game of ‘great power collusion’. Future scenarios could include continued multilateralism without the US, or a parallel China-l
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AUD/USD advances to near 0.6570 on upbeat Australian Dollar, US CPI eyed
AUD/USD climbs to near 0.6570 as the antipodean trades firmly.China’s Q2 GDP data beats estimates, lifting demand for the Australian Dollar.Investors await the US CPI data for June, which will influence market expectations for the Fed’s monetary policy outlook. The AUD/USD pair jumps to near 0.6570
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Nu Holdings (NYSE: NU) Completes Elliott Wave (II) Correction
Wave (II) correction ends as NU begins a new impulsive cycle with strong upside potential supported by Elliott Wave analysis. Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: NU) continues to gain bullish traction as the stock completes a significant corrective phase. The weekly Elliott Wave structure suggests that wave (II
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Britain heading for recession, and rate cuts, sooner than expected
Britain may be heading for recession far sooner than markets had anticipated after the economy unexpectedly shrank for the second straight month in May. It will now take something quite special for the UK to avoid an outright contraction in GDP in Q2, which doesn’t appear at all likely quite frankly
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NVDA hits historic $4 Trillion Mark as stocks, bonds
NVDA is now a $4 trillion company! Stocks rallied, bonds rallied, oil rallied and gold rallied. FOMC mins reveals nothing. It’s the same divide. FED Fund Futures still not expecting a cut in July. Try the Pasta Crudaioloa. Stocks rallied – hard - amid the latest tariffs announcements (which continue
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Gold price trades with a positive bias above $3,300 but bullish conviction lacking
Gold price ticks higher for the second straight day amid a combination of supporting factors.Trade jitters act as a tailwind for the safe-haven XAU/USD pair on the back of a softer USD.Declining US bond yields and Fed rate cut bets further benefit the non-yielding yellow metal. Gold price (XAU/USD)
