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Iran-Israel tensions threaten central bank easing cycles as Oil prices surge
Israel’s attack on Iranian nuclear sites and military targets has triggered a clear risk off mode in financial markets so far today, with investors responding to the news by flocking into the safe-havens, as is customary during times of rising geopolitical tensions. The US dollar has been the clear
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GBP/USD: Any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level – UOB Group
Further Pound Sterling (GBP) weakness is not ruled out against US Dollar (USD); oversold conditions suggest any decline may be limited to a retest of the 1.3460 level. In the longer run, tentative increase in downward momentum suggests GBP is likely to trade with a downward bias toward 1.3430, UOB G
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US labor market: weaker, but not weak – Commerzbank
Today is that time again – Payroll Friday. The first Friday of the month when, as is traditional, the US labor market report is published. According to Bloomberg, the consensus expectation is that the US economy created 126,000 new jobs in May. This would be significantly less than in the last two m
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Pound Sterling edges higher on continued US Dollar weakness
The Pound Sterling demonstrates strength around 1.3550 against the US Dollar as the Greenback suffers from downbeat US economic data for May.Tariff uncertainty further weighs on the US Dollar as US President Trump raised tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50% on Wednesday.BoE’s Bailey reiterated a ‘gr
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NBP preview: Expect a pause before a cycle of cuts in Poland
We're expecting a pause in Polish rate cuts this month, after a 50bp reduction in May. It's likely to be just a pause before an easing cycle resumes. The inflation outlook is improving, and CPI could hit the NBP's target in July. We see room for 75bp more cuts this year, but markets will be sensitiv
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NZD/USD: Likely to consolidate between 0.5985 and 0.6030 – UOB Group
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is likely to consolidate between 0.5985 and 0.6030. In the longer run, rapid buildup in upward momentum indicates further NZD strength; the level to monitor is 0.6095, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Rapid buildup in upward momentum indicates furt
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JPY is a relative performer on the day – Scotiabank
Japanese Yen (JPY) is soft, down marginally against the US Dollar (USD) but outperforming most of the G10 currencies, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes. BoJ maintains focus on reducing JGB purchases and raising rates "Fundamentals are supportive as market participants respond to B
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Brent holds range, faces resistance near 50-DMA at $67 – Société Générale
Brent crude continues to consolidate in a sideways pattern, with downward momentum still dominant. A potential base formation hinges on holding above recent lows and reclaiming key moving averages, Société Générale's FX analysts note. Key support near April low at $58.40 in focus "Brent has evolved
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US gasoline demand strong ahead of summer driving season – Commerzbank
Yesterday's weekly US inventory report halted the slide on the oil market, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes. US crude stocks drop, gap to 5-year average widens "US crude oil inventories fell surprisingly sharply, and the gap to the five-year average widened again to 6%. Howeve
