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Bank of England to keep rates on hold despite jobs market wobble
We expect the Bank of England to keep rates at 4.25% on 19 June, but some disappointing jobs numbers, lower wage growth and a more optimistic outlook for services inflation mean we expect cuts in August and November. Should the Bank of England be cutting rates this month? The Bank of England is high
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U.S. budget deficit hit $316 billion in May, with annual shortfall up 14% from a year ago
The U.S. government drifted further into red ink during May, with a burgeoning debt and deficit issue getting worse, the Treasury Department reported Wednesday. After running a short-lived surplus in April thanks to tax season receipts, the deficit totaled just over $316 billion for the month, takin
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Japan’s Kato says will conduct fiscal policy appropriately
Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Tuesday that he will appropriately conduct fiscal policy. Key quotes Seeking more Japanese Government Bond holdings by domestic investors Will make efforts toward appropriate Japanese Government Bonds management Crucial to seek Japanese Government Bon
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GBP: Quiet appreciation – ING
GBP/USD remains quietly well bid as it rides on the coat-tails of a stronger euro, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes. Cable to trade withing the 1.3500-1.3600 range "As a major reserve currency, Pound Sterling (GBP) in theory should benefit from any de-dollarization flows. And with one-week deposi
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This week’s Bank of Canada rate decision is a coin toss
Consensus is leaning in favour of a cut on 4 June, but markets are pricing in only 6bp. We see this as a 50/50 call, but if the BoC holds this time, the signals may be dovish, and we’d expect the next cut in July. Markets are also underpricing the risk of a July move, and we see downside risks for C
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Tariff saga act three: Legal worries
What began as early trade optimism yesterday – triggered by the US Court of International Trade deeming Trump’s tariffs illegal – turned out to be too good to be true. Things quickly got messy when Trump appealed the decision, prompting the US Court of Appeals to pause the ruling in order to review
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United Kingdom: From Brexit to reset
The EU-UK summit on 19 May marks a new phase in economic rapprochement, more than five years after the Brexit, which has undeniably weakened the UK economy1. The structural challenges facing the UK – high inflation, sluggish business investment, low productivity – partly result from this event. The
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The Power of Elliott Wave Blue Boxes: GBPUSD's Perfect Bounce
In this technical blog, we will look at the past performance of the 1-hour Elliott Wave Charts of GBPUSD. In which, the rally from 13 January 2025 low is unfolding as an impulse sequence & showed a higher high sequence therefore, called for an extension higher to take place. We knew that the str
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Services are dragging the Eurozone PMI down
Preliminary Eurozone business activity estimates moved into contractionary territory due to a sharp dip in the services sector. The Euro-region manufacturing PMI rose to 49.4, the highest reading since August 2022, but still in contractionary territory as it is below 50. The index shows that the sec
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GOLD (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave : Buying the Dips at the Blue Box Area
Hello traders. As our members know, we have had many profitable trading setups recently. In this technical article, we are going to talk about another Elliott Wave trading setup we got in GOLD. The commodity has completed its correction exactly at the Equal Legs zone, also known as the Bl
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Gold outlook: Bulls regained traction and establish above $3,300
XAU/USD Gold keeps firm tone and attempts to establish above $3300 level, after the price hit the highest in over one week on Wednesday morning, in extension of Thursday’s 1.8% rally. Fresh safe haven demand was fueled by further weakening of US dollar, which was also hurt by the US credit rating do
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USD: Gently offered – ING
FX markets have started the week in quiet fashion. US President Donald Trump's two-hour call with Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to have yielded few results and left European leaders with the view that they're on their own in support of Ukraine. Let's see whether oil and gas prices spike a
