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SPX reversal wasn’t that
Strange daily candle, but doesn‘t it remind you of NFPs aftermath? Clients were in the picture off yesterday‘s lows that there‘s no reason to panic. As for CPI today, unemployment claims have turned more important – market gyrations show that celebrating the rate cuts is being weighed against real e
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Morning briefing: Euro is coming off within its 1.1800-1.1600 range
The Dollar Index has bounced well from the low of 97.25. Still a break past 98 will be needed to open the doors for 99-100 in the near term. The Euro is coming off within its 1.18-1.16 range. EURINR has slipped below 103.50 and is back within its 103.50-10.250 range. EURJPY and USDJPY can trade with
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Forex Trends – September 2025
US Dollar: Losing some ground lately, mostly because jobs data came in weaker than expected and traders are betting the Fed might cut rates. Euro: Gaining strength as the dollar dips and some positive fundamentals are giving it a boost. British Pound: Just chilling for now, moving sideways – n
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25 or 50 bps? Fed cut odds rise as institutions shift to Gold
The CME Fedwatch tool jumped from a 86% rate cut decision last week, to a 90% expectation. This comes after an underwhelming ISM report and NFP report, and has even catapulted the 50bps rate cut expectation up by 10%. ISM Manufacturing: Contractionary again, signalling weakening industrial activity.
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India’s Manufacturing ambitions at risk from new US tariffs
Donald Trump’s decision to double tariffs on Indian goods — raising them to as high as 50% — officially took effect today, heightening trade tensions between the world’s two largest democracies. The move threatens to undermine India’s growing role as a potential manufacturing alternative to China, p
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Australian CPI expected to jump, Aussie steady
The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6482, down 0.01% on the day. Australian CPI expected to jump to 2.3% The markets are bracing for an acceleration in Australian CPI on Wednesday. The market estimate stands at 2.3% y/y, comp
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DXY: USD bears need momentum from data – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) fell post Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole. But the decline in USD did not make fresh lows. DXY last at 98 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Mild bearish momentum on daily chart fades "Price action reflects a sigh of relief that a Fed pivot is finall
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USD/CHF finds resistance at 0.8100 but stands tall awaiting Fed’s Powell
US Dollar finds resistance at 0.8100 but remains steady above previous weekly highs.The US Dollar strengthens across the board as the market holds its breath ahead of Fed Powell's speech.Weak Swiss data has added bearish pressure on the Swiss Franc this week. The US Dollar is trimming daily gains ag
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US Dollar Index holds steady above 98.50, Jackson Hole Symposium in focus
US Dollar Index trades flat near 98.65 in Friday’s Asian session.US Composite PMI improved in August, led by a resurgent manufacturing sector. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech will be the highlight later on Friday. The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured agai
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Gold slumps on geopolitical developments, strong Dollar ahead of Powell’s speech
Gold tumbles as Trump, Zelenskiy and European leaders discuss possible negotiations with Russia.Safe-haven demand eases as speculation of security guarantees for Kyiv sparks optimism over a potential end to the war.Trader’s eye Fed minutes and Powell’s speech for clues on policy path as Bowman reite
