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USD: The US-China deal – Commerzbank
The US dollar depreciated yesterday following the weaker-than-expected US inflation figures and the EUR/USD exchange rate was able to rise towards its April high this morning. At this point, I could spend a long time pondering whether the reaction was justified, pointing to explanations for the cont
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Gold price climbs closer to overnight swing high despite trade optimism, firmer USD
Gold price regains positive traction following the previous day’s range-bound price moves.Trade-related uncertainties and geopolitical risks underpin the safe-haven precious metal. A modest USD strength might cap the XAU/USD ahead of the critical US inflation figures. Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts f
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NY Fed: Year-ahead expected inflation falls to 3.2% in May from 3.6% in April
The Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York noted in its latest Survey of Consumer Expectations that the year-ahead inflation expectation stood at 3.2% in May, down from 3.6% in April. Key takeaways "May three-year ahead expected inflation 3% vs. April’s 3.2%." "May five-year ahead expected inflation
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USD/CNH rebounds toward 7.26 resistance after testing 7.16 – Société Générale
USD/CNH’s recent downtrend has paused after finding support near 7.16, with a modest rebound now unfolding. However, upside may remain limited for now, as break below 7.16 can extend the downtrend, Société Générale's FX analysts note. Break below 7.16 might trigger a drop towards 7.10/7.08 "USD/CNH
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Wall Street week ahead: where bulls tiptoe, tariffs tango, and traders watch the sky for payroll payloads
If April was the catharsis, June is the reckoning. Payroll Payloads Markets are swaggering into June with the kind of misplaced confidence you see in a high-wire act over a pit of fire—balancing on momentum, staring down macro landmines, and praying that the legal and fiscal winds don’t shift mid-st
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Markets greet court ruling with a shrug
The court decision to block Trump's tariffs hasn't generated much of a euphoric reaction, says Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at online trading platform IG. FTSE 100 flat despite court blocking tariffs For the FTSE 100 and other European markets, today has been a case of selling the news. Ind
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Trump adviser Hassett is confident tariffs will prevail despite judges' ruling
A top economic advisor to President Donald Trump expressed confidence Thursday that court rulings throwing out aggressive tariffs will be overturned on appeal. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, said in an interview that he fully believes the administration's efforts to use ta
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Oil: OPEC+ supply in focus – ING
The Oil market is trading firmer this morning after President Trump said he would delay the deadline for tariffs on EU goods until 9 July. This is after announcing late last week that the US would impose 50% tariffs starting 1 June. The extension comes after a phone call with European Commission Pre
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White House announces slew of "new" deals across AI and energy sectors
The Trump administration announced a wide array of new deals on Thursday.Despite the overall upbeat sentiment from White House sources, most deals appear to have already existed or been in the works prior to January.The specific dollar amounts of the announced deals, and how they were calculated, re
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GDP and trade boost for Chancellor but headwinds remain
According to today’s ONS trade data, the total goods and services trade deficit narrowed by £3.6 billion to a deficit of £6.6 billion in Quarter 1 2025, compared with the previous quarter. The trade in goods deficit narrowed by £4.3 billion to £55.2 billion in Quarter 1 2025, while the trade in serv
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USD/CNH: Likely to trade sideways between 7.1850 and 7.2100 – UOB Group
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade sideways between 7.1850 and 7.2100. In the longer run, renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Renewed downward momentum suggests 7.1700 is back in sight 24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, when
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Markets rally on tariff de-escalation – Focus on US CPI [Video]
The week kicked off with the news that the US and China would announce ‘substantial’ progress in trade negotiations — and the progress was indeed close to substantial. Markets rallied with joy, gold and the franc softened, the US dollar rallied, US treasuries retreated. Gains are being given back to
