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Hurry up and wait, the Fed stands pat at july meeting
As widely expected, the Federal Reserve maintained its wait-and-see position, taking no interest rate action during the July FOMC meeting. However, there were some evident cracks in the committee as two members dissented from the majority decision. It was the first time multiple committee members op
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Trade deal or not, that is the question
The upward pressure on long-end rates continued throughout July, which, as usual, was characterised by more limited market liquidity than otherwise. Over the past month, 10Y EUR swap rates have increased by nearly 10bp, while the short end has declined slightly again – a socalled 'twist' steepening
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Technical outlook on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, BTC/USD [Video]
EURUSD hopes for a rebound below 20-SMA as ECB rate decision and flash PMIs loom. USDJPY remains shaky after Ishiba’s political setback. BTCUSD stabilizes near all-time high. Is another bullish episode on the horizon? ECB rate decision, flash S&P Global PMIs – EUR/USD The European Central Bank (
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DXY: Signs of exhaustion – OCBC
US Dollar (USD) was a touch softer this morning on comments from Fed’s Waller. DXY was last at 98.37 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Still reasonable to plan on 2 rate cuts in 2025 "He believes it makes sense for the Fed to cut 25bp at the upcoming FOMC. He reite
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XAU/USD outlook: Gold holds in extended near-term range but overall picture remains bullishly aligned
Gold price stays in red on Thursday, with additional pressure seen from better than expected US retail sales which add to Fed’s stance of staying on hold with interest rates until getting clearer signals about inflation. Fresh bears probed below the floor of recent range ($3320 zone) and approached
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Things are going from bad to worse for the UK economy
Things are going from bad to worse for the UK economy. Jobs are continuing to be lost at a rapid pace, unemployment is rising, vacancies are falling and jobless benefit claims are up as businesses shed staff in response to the government’s heavily criticised business tax raid. The only sliver of sol
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Struggles near multi-week low, around 1.3430 ahead of US CPI
GBP/USD enters a bearish consolidation phase near a multi-week low touched earlier this Tuesday.The fundamental and technical setup backs the case for a further near-term depreciating move. Traders, however, seem reluctant and opt to wait for the latest US consumer inflation figures. The GBP/USD pai
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US Dollar Index extends the rally above 98.00 amid negative mood
The US Dollar Index trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day around 98.10 in Monday’s early European session. Trump's latest tariff threats boost the US Dollar against its rivals. US June CPI inflation report will take center stage later on Tuesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY), an in
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Russia exports less crude oil despite a hike in production target – Commerzbank
According to Bloomberg data, Russia's seaborne crude oil exports fell to an average of 3.12 million barrels per day in the past four weeks, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes. Russian oil exports hit four-month low "This is the lowest level in more than four months. The increase i
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Tariffs talk, tech walks and markets bet on backpedals, not breakdowns
The market sails on, propelled by a tech juggernaut that refuses to yield to political squalls. Nvidia, the crown jewel of the AI boom, has pierced the $4 trillion mark—its stock rising like a helium-fed dirigible above the clouds of trade tension and presidential saber-rattling. And while Trump’s t
